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June 01, 2024, 08:23:18 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 08:23:17 PM 
Started by jaichind - Last post by Frodo


This is a good video of why 2004 hopes are little far fetched. These are the reasons he gives:

1. There is no reasonable study that has shown that lower turnout hurts the BJP. Some studies have shown that sometimes lower turnout could benefit the BJP as well

2. NDA is far stronger in UP/Bihar than it was in 2004. In 2004 the NDA only won 22 seats in both states while in 2019 that number was 101 and they got over a 50% vote share as well

3. Ram Mandir helps among Northern voters where the BJP has a lot of seats

4. There is no equivalent to Sonia Gandhi in 2004 for the opposition and the lack of one major leader gives the BJP the advantage on the issue of "strong stable leadership"

5. The BJP has far more momentum in the south today than it did back in 2004 and far more seats are winnable for them there then there was back then.

Bumping for when we receive the final poll results for the last round of voting.  I am curious, by the way, to see if the BJP has received the 40 seats in the south this guy mentioned. 

 2 
 on: Today at 08:22:01 PM 
Started by Woody - Last post by GAinDC
It's cute that the blue avatars are still under the illusion that rank-and-file Democrats are giving a crap about Hunter Biden.

Not card-carrying Democrats, but I guarantee there's a non-negligible number of swing voters out there who will think "I don't want to vote for Trump after his convictions, but Hunter is just as bad and I don't agree as much with Biden either, so I guess I have to vote for Trump"

If that’s the case then they’re probably just Trump voters who identify as swing voters. That comparison is a reach and would only happen if someone was looking for some sort of rationale or permission to vote for Trump.

One of the most annoying things about our political discourse now is the fact that the media doesn’t call out these voters (and electeds like Susan Collins) for the frauds they really are.

 3 
 on: Today at 08:21:35 PM 
Started by 2016 - Last post by Meclazine for Israel
I doubt you will be able to keep yourself to this for more than a few days.
Oh, yes I will.

Roland Garros Tennis Tournament going on
Champions League Final tomorrow
European Soccer Championships starts on June 15th
Wimbledon + Summer Olympics soon thereafter

Lot's off stuff happening.

Formula 1 is kicking into overdrive over the next few weeks. Ferrari making a solid comeback makes it a very interesting sport to watch.

Hawthorn and Essendon are making strong I-roads into the AFL ladder in Australia.

Plenty of sport, agreed.

 4 
 on: Today at 08:20:46 PM 
Started by Donald Trump’s Toupée - Last post by Donald Trump’s Toupée
Both, obviously.

But 2020 was more rigged.

 5 
 on: Today at 08:17:00 PM 
Started by Suburbia - Last post by Steve from Lambeth
I thought that thetexan.news was somebody's blog. It must be a particularly badly designed blog, given that almost 10% of the global population is banned from accessing it

 6 
 on: Today at 08:16:44 PM 
Started by Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden - Last post by Chancellor Tanterterg
Bill Walker

 7 
 on: Today at 08:16:25 PM 
Started by Mr. Smith - Last post by darklordoftech

 8 
 on: Today at 08:15:58 PM 
Started by First1There - Last post by First1There
The Mormon Rebellion, also known as the Mormon Civil War or the Mormon Revolution, was a civil war in The United States between the black-led American Republic and the Mormon-led Mormon Heavenly Kingdom. The conflict lasted for 14 years, from its outbreak in 1850 until the fall of Mormon-controlled Salt Lake City—which they had renamed "Angelic"—in 1864. However, the last rebel forces were not defeated until August 1871. Estimates of the conflict's death toll range between 2 and 3 million people, representing 5–10% of America's population. While the Americans ultimately defeated the rebellion, the victory came at a great cost to the state's economic and political viability.

The uprising was led by Brigham Young, an early convert to Mormonism (a Christian subgroup) who had proclaimed himself to be the brother of Jesus Christ. Young sought the religious conversion of the White people to the Mormon's syncretic version of Christianity, as well as the political overthrow of the American Republic, and a general transformation of the mechanisms of state. Moreover, rather than supplanting America's ruling class, the Taiping rebels sought to entirely upend the country's social order. Their Heavenly Kingdom centered in Salt Lake City ultimately managed to seize control of significant parts of Western America. At its peak, the Heavenly Kingdom ruled over a population of nearly 3 million people.

For more than a decade, Mormon armies occupied and fought across much of the Rocky Mountains and Great Plains, ultimately devolving into total civil war. It was the largest war in America since the American Revolution involving most of Western America. It ranks as the bloodiest American civil war, and the largest conflict of the American Continent that century. In terms of deaths, it is comparable to the Napoleonic Wars. Three million people fled the conquered regions to foreign settlements or other parts of America. The war was characterized by extreme brutality on both sides. Mormon soldiers carried out widespread massacres of black people, the ethnic minority of the ruling political party. Meanwhile, the American government also engaged in massacres, most notably against the civilian population of Salt Lake City.

Weakened severely by internal conflict, an attempted coup, and the failure of the siege of Washington, the Mormon rebels were defeated by decentralized, provincial armies such as the Texan Army organized and commanded by Sam Houston. After moving up the Great Plains and recapturing the strategic city of Denver, Houston's forces besieged Salt Lake City during May 1862. After two more years, on June 1, 1864, Brigham Young died and Salt Lake City barely a month later. The 14-year civil war, combined with other partially linked internal and external wars, weakened the party but provided incentive for an initially successful period of reform and self-strengthening. It exacerbated ethnic disputes and accelerated the rise of state power. Historians debate whether these developments foreshadowed the Warring States Era, the loss of central control after the establishment of the Union of America in 1912.

 9 
 on: Today at 08:15:31 PM 
Started by darklordoftech - Last post by darklordoftech
?

 10 
 on: Today at 08:15:21 PM 
Started by Tekken_Guy - Last post by Tekken_Guy
Who gets a higher vote share in their primary? Cori Bush or Jamaal Bowman?

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