How will these states be identified in 2032? (user search)
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  How will these states be identified in 2032? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How will these states be identified in 2032?  (Read 3602 times)
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« on: April 16, 2017, 07:23:46 PM »

How do you think the following states will be generally identified in the 2032 presidential election? (Example: Arkansas: Safe R)

-Arizona
-Colorado
-New Mexico
-Virginia
-Florida
-Alaska
-Texas
-South Carolina
-Georgia
-Utah
-Montana
-Ohio
-Iowa
-North Carolina
-Indiana
-Minnesota
-Wisconsin
-Michigan
-Oregon
-New Hampshire
-Nevada
-Pennsylvania
-Connecticut
-Rhode Island
-Maine

Since the list is so lengthy, pick only a few if you wish to do so.

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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #1 on: April 24, 2017, 05:49:21 PM »

Just wondering: what is everyone's justification for putting Alaska as only Lean R?
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #2 on: April 24, 2017, 07:45:56 PM »

Just wondering: what is everyone's justification for putting Alaska as only Lean R?

I'll echo this ... are the rural/Democratic areas actually growing faster than the more populated/Republican counties?  This isn't a Georgia situation...

Part of it is that rural Alaska leaning Democratic is a fairly recent development. Also, some of Alaska's growth has been due to people from the West Coast moving in. To my knowledge, most areas in Alaska are less Republican than they used to be. This trend might not continue, but many of us are assuming that it will.
Ok.  I've mainly been focusing on presidential elections and while I see areas, especially the north, are trending quite surprisingly Democratic (for a state many, like I, just associate with the Republican Party), I guess I just kind of thought it will stay Republican until a major realignment since Republican presidential candidates have performed about the same.
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
« Reply #3 on: April 27, 2017, 05:28:17 PM »

-Arizona: Lean D
-Colorado: Safe D
-New Mexico: Safe D
-Virginia: Likely D
-Florida: Tossup
-Alaska: Safe R
-Texas: Tossup/Tilt R/Lean R
-South Carolina: Safe R
-Georgia: Tossup/Tilt R
-Utah: Safe R
-Montana: Safe R
-Ohio: Likely R
-Iowa: Likely R
-North Carolina: Tossup/Tilt D
-Indiana: Safe R
-Minnesota: Tossup/Tilt R
-Wisconsin: Lean R
-Michigan: Tossup/Tilt R
-Oregon: Safe D
-New Hampshire: Tossup/Lean D
-Nevada: Lean D/Likely D
-Pennsylvania: Tossup/Tilt D
-Connecticut:Likely D/Safe D
-Rhode Island: Likely D/Safe D
-Maine (statewide): Tossup
   -Maine's 1st: Safe D
   -Maine's 2nd: Likely R/Safe R
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