Ebsy
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,001
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« on: December 01, 2015, 05:14:25 PM » |
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As we all know, the Iowa Democratic Caucuses have a "viability" floor where if a candidate gets under 15% of the vote in a precinct, their caucus-goers have to change sides or people have to go to their banner to make them viable. In most precincts, neither Clinton nor Sanders will probably have difficulty meeting the 15% threshold, but Martin O'Malley, unless he gets a significant bump in the polls, will probably fall short in precincts all over Iowa. I've heard a bit from Clinton staffers about the complicated calculus of caucus night, which few people seem to understand, but the goal is to basically ensure the runner-up (for them, hopefully Bernie) gets the fewest delegates.
With that in mind, how do you guys think O'Malley's frightened and few supporters will factor into this? I'm hesitant to label them anti-Clinton, since if they were, you would think they would already be in the Sanders camp.
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