Swedish election 2010

[jeron]

So one of the questions that remain is, will Sahlin resign tonight?

If the latest prediction comes true and the coalition has no majority, I don't think she will resign. She could even become PM.

[Tender Branson]

Government still down by 7000 votes and 3 seats.

With 98% of the vote this will be almost the final result.

This is it, I´m going to sleep.

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Hung parliaments are apperently the trend of 2010

Sahlin didn't say anything about resignation in her speech just now, so you guys are most likely right and she'll remain for now.
 

[Filuwaúrdjan]

With 5546 out of 5668 counted...

SAP 30.8, MP 7.2%, V 5.6 43.6
M 29.9, FP 7.1, C 6.6, KD 5.6 49.2
SD 5.7

SAP 112, MP 25, V 19 156
M 107, FP 24, C 23, KD 19 173
SD 20

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Maud Olofsson just gave an answer to the question everyone was wondering, the Alliance will continue as a minority goverment.

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Björklund confirms Olofsson with "The Alliance will continue to govern."

 

[Filuwaúrdjan]

What precedents are there for minority governments in Sweden? Though perhaps that's a question for the morrow.

---

SAP 113, MP 25, V 19
M 107, FP 24, C 22, KD 19
SD 20

5641/5668

[Filuwaúrdjan]

SAP vote actually increases in Norrbotten.

[Hash]

SAP vote actually increases in Norrbotten.

Second election in a row too iirc.

M seems slightly down in Stockholm, perhaps some of their younger voters voting Green this time?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

SAP 30.9, MP 7.2, V 5.6
M 30.0, FP 7.1, C 6.6, KD 5.6
SD 5.7

SAP 113, MP 25, V 19
M 107, FP 24, C 22, KD 19
SD 20

5663/5668

So, basically, final. Or close enough as makes no difference.

[Gustaf]

Just got home.

To answer some of the questions posed here:

1. Robertsfors is the home of C-leader Maud Olofsson.

2. SAP did horribly in Norrbotten in 1998 and still seem to be rebounding from it.

3. It's not going to be a majority.

4. Apart from the last four years Sweden has not had a majority government since 1981. But the last time it was a similar situation (1991-1994) it was troublesome.

5. Stockholm is always odd. M probably was hurt by tactical voting there, imo.

[Gustaf]

Absolute disaster for SAP in Malmö btw. Not being the largest party there is a real blow for them.

And SD has really gone national. They're still weak in most of Norrland and in Stockholm, but they're a presence in a lot of places where they didn't use to exist before.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Preliminary map.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Absolute disaster for SAP in Malmö btw.

South Skane even worse. Any local factors of note? It isn't just SD because M had significantly better increases there than average.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I'll be doing a lot of maps at various different levels soon-ish. Maybe tomorrow, but maybe not; am very busy.
If anyone wants to use that nice new outline map of mine, feel free to do so. But please remove my signature. Diolch

[Hash]

In Landskrona, where SD had won like 22% in the local elections in 2006, they've fallen to 15.7% and lost 4 seats. FP seems to be the largest benefactor of that.

And in the Riksdag vote, SD won 10% there.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Local elections in general quite a bit better for the Left.

[Gustaf]

Reinfeldt probably pulled up the national numbers for M. S historically does badly in local elections, so this is a new trend.

Skåne is probably an area where S has suffered greatly due to immigration issues.

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Absolute disaster for SAP in Malmö btw.

South Skane even worse. Any local factors of note? It isn't just SD because M had significantly better increases there than average.

South Skåne has had an invasion of Danish people, who work in Denmark but who've settled down in Sweden. Due to their greater economic strength, house prizes in the area has escalated to a rediculous level, so the Red-Green proposal to reintroduce the rates for owners of expensive houses would hit almost all house owners in that constituency harsher than anywhere else. That might be a factor I believe.

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Well what can I say. I'm disappointed we wasn't able to make it all the way to the finish line, and that Sweden now leaves the shrinking group of PR nations without a populist xenophobic party in parliamnet.

Still, the Alliance increased their support even if they lost seats, and they will be continuing to govern unless the opposition unite in order to bring a vote of no confidence against them, which seems very unlikely. A mix of positive and negative.

Lars Ohly proves once again he's disgusting by blaming the goverment for Sd's success.

Now off to bed. Night people. 

[Gustaf]

Also, trust in politicians is record high this election. Education was the biggest issue for voters.

[You kip if you want to...]

Education was the biggest issue for voters.

So they vote in the far-right? Irony.

[Gustaf]

Education was the biggest issue for voters.

So they vote in the far-right? Irony.

The 5% who voted for SD probably didn't have education as their top issue. They usually list another one...

Anyway, 48% of SD voters label themselves as right, 20% as left and 32% as neither.

And Feminist Initiative got local seats in Simrishamn, the home of the party leader, with almost 10% of the local vote.

[MaxQue]

And Feminist Initiative got local seats in Simrishamn, the home of the party leader, with almost 10% of the local vote.

Given than the women's right are well-avanced in Sweden, I suppose than this is an radical and extremist party?

[Hash]

And Feminist Initiative got local seats in Simrishamn, the home of the party leader, with almost 10% of the local vote.

Given than the women's right are well-avanced in Sweden, I suppose than this is an radical and extremist party?

I think they want to abolish marriage or something.