Ronnie
Junior Chimp
Posts: 7,993
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« on: May 27, 2016, 11:08:46 PM » |
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I actually think Hillary's room for error is rather large. Unless her campaign completely fails in all three of the following points, I think she will win by anywhere from Obama's 2012 victory margin to an epic landslide:
1) Ensure the convention goes smoothly and unites the party. Offer as many concessions to Sanders and his delegates as they need to keep relatively quiet. If she and the DNC are successful in this regard, her favorables will probably rise into the mid-forties.
2) Launch a multi-front scorched earth campaign that ensures the visceral negative feelings Trump provokes within ~50% of the voting electorate remain that way.
3) Bring out the Obama coalition to the polls.
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