GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread (user search)
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  GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread  (Read 71149 times)
Gass3268
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« on: June 20, 2017, 11:25:32 AM »

Take this with a grain of salt, obviously, but:

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So GOP vote is either "moderate" or 3x better than the 2016 presidential election.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2017, 12:17:41 PM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: June 20, 2017, 12:42:51 PM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: June 20, 2017, 01:53:11 PM »

Current traffic picture in the area (via Nate Silver):

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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2017, 01:58:06 PM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: June 20, 2017, 03:15:43 PM »


36K in Fulton, which has over half the district's voters, doesn't seem like that much.  Wasn't overall Election Day turnout expected to be in the 100K neighborhood?

I could be totally wrong, but this seems like bad news for Handel. She needs a robust Election Day turnout.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: June 20, 2017, 03:39:55 PM »


But with nearly three hours left. They will most likely exceed that especially in the last couple of hours when people leave work.

dekalb county democrats, for the most part, either don't work or work at jobs like wendy's and raising cane's where they can't get off from work to vote

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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: June 20, 2017, 04:05:51 PM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: June 20, 2017, 04:33:59 PM »

Any of our resident experts on GA-06 know which areas tend to report votes earlier/later?

Also, do they tend to dump EVs separately at the very beginning or include with individual precinct results as a consolidated total?

If I remember correctly from the first round, the EV dumps in totality for each of the three counties.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: June 20, 2017, 05:00:13 PM »

Nate Cohen wants to make sure everyone remembers that's only the in person early vote will be first. Mail in early vote will cone much later and will lean more Dem.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: June 20, 2017, 07:51:47 PM »

York is absolutely killing Parnell. Just over 1,000 votes in it. All of Cherokee just dumped, a meager swing to the Dems there. All of Chester reported, and it's a 10 point Dem swing.

In what world a 17.1% swing meager?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: June 20, 2017, 07:54:38 PM »

Politico is saying that they are seeing a 2.4% shift towards Ossoff in the precicents that have counted so far.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: June 20, 2017, 08:27:52 PM »

Why does everyone have different numbers? So annoying.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: June 20, 2017, 09:11:53 PM »

Ossoff is going to end up with almost the exactly % he got back in April. That by itself is amazing.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: June 21, 2017, 08:24:49 AM »

He keeps ignoring that most of Ossoff's money came from individual donors

About a $40 average
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