Georgia's Trend

[DS0816]

I'm surprised people didn't note that Barack Obama won over the female vote in 2008 Georgia. He received 54 percent of their support, which was better than a trio of pickup bellwether states— Florida, Ohio, and Virginia.

We're in a realigning period favoring the presidency for the Democrats. Now, Georgia has toppled Michigan to now be the No. 8 state ranked in population. It's not immune to shifts and trends. Obama's first election was carriage of women at 56 percent and men at 49 percent nationally. Had Hillary Clinton been the Democratic nominee, she would have performed better nationally with both genders. And, in that case, Ga. would have been even more vulnerable for John McCain.

I will also note that had Obama won re-election in the same vein as most who won a second term—meaning increases in popular-vote margin and electoral-vote score—Republican pickups would have been had anyway in both Indiana and Nebraska #02. But the Democratic pickups would have been in Arizona and Georgia.