AR Congressional Races 2014
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 19, 2024, 12:25:30 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  AR Congressional Races 2014		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 19 20 21 22 23 [24] 25 26 27 28 29 30
Author Topic: AR Congressional Races 2014  (Read 73904 times)
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #575 on: May 07, 2014, 12:52:10 PM »
Here's the GIFAN pro-Cotton ad.

Obama will be touring flood damage with Pryor and IIRC, Griffin.
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #576 on: May 08, 2014, 07:56:23 AM »
Cotton will spend $120k on Fort Smith ads.
 Maybe this is the one?
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #577 on: May 09, 2014, 10:02:51 PM »
Cotton raised $571k in April.
Logged
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #578 on: May 13, 2014, 12:07:53 PM »
Sabato moves Arkansas senate race:

Leans R --> Tossup

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2014-senate/

Still waiting on that KY to go from Likely R to Lean R...
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,990


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #579 on: May 13, 2014, 02:05:53 PM »
Cotton releases an internal with him up 42-40: http://atr.rollcall.com/cotton-internal-poll-finds-senate-race-in-dead-heat/

Cotton's pollster criticizes the Marist poll for oversampling Democrats. Meanwhile, his internal poll has party registration evenly divided (lol).
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,467
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #580 on: May 13, 2014, 02:07:04 PM »
Quote from: Lіef on May 13, 2014, 02:05:53 PM
Cotton releases an internal with him up 42-40: http://atr.rollcall.com/cotton-internal-poll-finds-senate-race-in-dead-heat/

Cotton's pollster criticizes the Marist poll for oversampling Democrats. Meanwhile, his internal poll has party registration evenly divided (lol).

Cotton is only up two in his own internal?  Cool Smiley
Logged
Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
Just Passion Through
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,409
Norway


P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #581 on: May 13, 2014, 02:07:31 PM »
Quote from: Lіef on May 13, 2014, 02:05:53 PM
Cotton releases an internal with him up 42-40: http://atr.rollcall.com/cotton-internal-poll-finds-senate-race-in-dead-heat/

Cotton's pollster criticizes the Marist poll for oversampling Democrats. Meanwhile, his internal poll has party registration evenly divided (lol).

Where have I heard that before?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #582 on: May 13, 2014, 02:11:15 PM »
Quote from: Lіef on May 13, 2014, 02:05:53 PM
Cotton releases an internal with him up 42-40: http://atr.rollcall.com/cotton-internal-poll-finds-senate-race-in-dead-heat/

Cotton's pollster criticizes the Marist poll for oversampling Democrats. Meanwhile, his internal poll has party registration evenly divided (lol).

Don't internals usually have about a 6 point bias? Sounds about right.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,518
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #583 on: May 13, 2014, 02:31:20 PM »
To Sabato's credit, when they say "lean Rep", it means that one of two parties has a slight advantage, but it's still extremely competitive.
They take risks (no toss up for instance for the 2012 senate ratings). So the "lean Rep" was normal. Now, they just correct their analysis with the last polls.
Logged
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #584 on: May 13, 2014, 05:01:48 PM »
Quote from: Lіef on May 13, 2014, 02:05:53 PM
Cotton's pollster criticizes the Marist poll for oversampling Democrats. Meanwhile, his internal poll has party registration evenly divided (lol).

Doesn't it make sense that they oversample Democrats because there are significantly more registered Democrats in Arkansas than Republicans?
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,990


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #585 on: May 13, 2014, 05:43:40 PM »
Quote from: Joshua on May 13, 2014, 05:01:48 PM
Quote from: Lіef on May 13, 2014, 02:05:53 PM
Cotton's pollster criticizes the Marist poll for oversampling Democrats. Meanwhile, his internal poll has party registration evenly divided (lol).

Doesn't it make sense that they oversample Democrats because there are significantly more registered Democrats in Arkansas than Republicans?

Yeah, exactly. And that's why his internal poll is silly.
Logged
Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
Just Passion Through
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,409
Norway


P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #586 on: May 14, 2014, 12:46:05 AM »
Cotton removes posts on votes against Sandy aid from website
Logged
badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #587 on: May 14, 2014, 12:47:09 AM »
Because of the tornado I guess.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,518
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #588 on: May 14, 2014, 02:21:12 AM »
Cheesy
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #589 on: May 17, 2014, 03:36:17 PM »
OK, this is funny. Spat between Cotton and Warren... his former bankruptcy law professor. He's talked about this before.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,518
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #590 on: May 17, 2014, 03:39:05 PM »
An another reason why Warren is awesome Cheesy
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #591 on: May 19, 2014, 06:57:38 AM »
The simplest poll explanation I've heard (from an AR Pub on Twitter) is simply Dem air dominance. But seems like the air wars will intensify this summer, using Pryor's own words.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,518
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #592 on: May 19, 2014, 08:05:34 AM »
The Koch Brothers are persuaded that they can buy elections, they risk to be as desillusioned as the awesome Karl Rove during the 2012 presidential results Cheesy.

Their Obamacare strategy doesn't work at all. Pryor is clearly in a better shape than 3 month ago, whereas the Koch Brothers have been a lot of money in order to defeat him.
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #593 on: May 19, 2014, 10:57:00 AM »
« Edited: May 19, 2014, 04:08:47 PM by RogueBeaver »
Crossroads will go up between June and August, $1.8 million. No reason why AFP can't dump a couple of million.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,518
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #594 on: May 20, 2014, 04:24:45 AM »
http://www.ontopmag.com/article.aspx?id=18571&MediaType=1&Category=26
Good strategy in Arkansas about gay rights for Pryor, he's trying to have both the anti SSM and the pro SSM supporters.
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #595 on: May 22, 2014, 01:00:33 PM »
At least 2 Senate TV debates agreed so far. Both will include opportunities for the candidates to directly question each other. Not so bold prediction: that part will be loud.

Here's a 2002 debate.
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #596 on: May 27, 2014, 10:51:27 AM »
AFP has $155k of June Senate ads planned. NRSC $1.8 million from August to November.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,518
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #597 on: May 27, 2014, 10:52:53 AM »
Only $150k?Huh??
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #598 on: May 27, 2014, 11:12:57 AM »
Puzzles me too. Here's a new C4G ad, no idea about $$$ or airtime. Does involve a parrot crapping on the NYT.
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #599 on: May 27, 2014, 04:33:51 PM »
Cotton fundraiser w/Jo Dee Messina.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 19 20 21 22 23 [24] 25 26 27 28 29 30  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.037 seconds with 9 queries.