My UK Election Predictions (user search)
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Author Topic: My UK Election Predictions  (Read 9738 times)
Peter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,030


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -7.48
« on: November 28, 2004, 05:47:25 PM »
Like all the other UK political buffs on the board, I will be predicting the elections for myself, but as a more general resource, I am also posting public pages on my website that will hopefully will be a good guide to identifying the marginal seats and then giving some background to them.

As ever, I will break the seats into the Regions that are used for EUP elections.

First online are:

Wales

South West England

Advice on both descriptions of regions and individual constituencies welcome.

I think I've identified all the marginal seats, though I could be wrong.
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Peter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,030


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -7.48
« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2004, 06:42:37 AM »
Well Avon is used by http://www.election.demon.co.uk, so I use it for ease of correlating my data up against theirs. Though I think you are right - it doesn't exist anymore - all of the constituencies are either under nearby County Councils or Unitaries.
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Peter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,030


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -7.48
« Reply #2 on: December 01, 2004, 02:51:34 PM »
Quote from: Ben. on December 01, 2004, 02:11:21 PM
Peter how are the other sections of the prediction coming along?

I'm just sitting down to do the South East - don't expect me to have finished the whole nation until Xmas at least, I don't have an age on my hands you know.
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Peter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,030


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -7.48
« Reply #3 on: December 03, 2004, 12:42:08 PM »
South East England

I am moving back home over this weekend, I should have another region by the end of next week. I'm not particularly bothered what I do, so I'll take requests.
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Peter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,030


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -7.48
« Reply #4 on: December 03, 2004, 01:28:45 PM »
Quote from: General Secretary Al on December 03, 2004, 01:15:53 PM
Nice to see the tiny (and ultra-militant) Kent coalfield gets a mention :-)

I thought you'd like it.
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Peter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,030


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -7.48
« Reply #5 on: December 03, 2004, 02:04:56 PM »

Windsor won't move at this election, even if it does have a black Tory candidate. The majority is reasonable, and this is the sort of area where Labour voters from 97 will move back to the Tories. I'm not aware of a particularly big effort by either the Lib Dems or UKIP in the constituency, though I'll keep half an eye on it.
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Peter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,030


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -7.48
« Reply #6 on: December 18, 2004, 04:52:29 PM »
Sorry to all those who have been eagerly waiting.

East Midlands Predictions

Fire away.
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Peter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,030


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -7.48
« Reply #7 on: January 07, 2005, 08:56:06 AM »
I've put the London predictions up because of an outside request for them to be done.

Index Page
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Peter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,030


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -7.48
« Reply #8 on: January 19, 2005, 05:36:31 AM »
I've updated the Wales page and am presently working on the West Midlands page.

Comments, as ever, welcome.
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