Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET)

[cinyc]

Fox News: Too early to project a winner in Mississippi, but exit polls show Trump with a sizable lead over Cruz and the others lagging behind.

[cinyc]

Fox News projects Trump wins Mississippi.

[cinyc]

AP projects Trump wins Mississippi, too.

[cinyc]

Dude, Oakland County is half in and Trump is ahead by several points.  I guarantee you Macomb will be even better for him.  Maybe the networks know something I don't about absentees, but this looks like a clear win to me.

The networks know that some counties in the western UP don't close until 9 Eastern, so they can't call it yet.  They'll call Michigan for Trump at the stroke of 9.

[cinyc]

Keep an eye on Mississippi, Trump is very close to 50% and sweeping all the delegates.

According to The Delegate Tracker here, only the 12 CD delegates are winner-takes-all if majority.  The 28 statewide delegates are proportional with a 15% threshold no matter what.  There will be no clean sweep.

[cinyc]

Keep an eye on Mississippi, Trump is very close to 50% and sweeping all the delegates.

According to The Delegate Tracker here, only the 12 CD delegates are winner-takes-all if majority.  The 28 statewide delegates are proportional with a 15% threshold no matter what.  There will be no clean sweep.

This was according to CNN's John King.

John King is wrong.  Erc, Frontloading HQ and the Green Papers all agree that statewide delegates are allocated proportionately with a 15% threshold without a majority winner-take-all rule.

[cinyc]

Nobody wanting to talk about Idaho?

There's nothing to talk about.  There are no results yet.

[cinyc]

Nobody wanting to talk about Idaho?

There's nothing to talk about.  There are no results yet.

Ive asked a couple questions as to why they are holding onto the results as most of the state closed an hour ago and I've asked about expectations, but crickets answered my posts.

It's not clear.  They might be holding onto the results until all the polls close.  But the AP can get reports from other sources, like reporters at individual precincts.  Neither are reporting anything, though.  We'll know if it's just an embargo in 5 minutes.

[cinyc]

Nobody wanting to talk about Idaho?

There's nothing to talk about.  There are no results yet.

Ive asked a couple questions as to why they are holding onto the results as most of the state closed an hour ago and I've asked about expectations, but crickets answered my posts.

Some of Idaho is in Pacific Time, and they may be holding results until polls close in the panhandle.

edit: cinyc wins

The Idaho Secretary of State says that is the case for their results website, but the AP could get around that if they wanted to by stationing reporters at key precincts.

[cinyc]

21 of 955 precincts reporting in ID:

Trump 36.4%
Cruz 32.9%
Rubio 17.9%
Kasich 8.9%

[cinyc]

Where is the Idaho results coming from, because there is nothing from CNN

http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/results/2016/PresidentialPrimary/ENR/candidates_by_county.html

It's scattered rural counties.

[cinyc]

Is cruz still likely taking idaho>?

Nope.

It's way too early to tell, with only rural counties reporting anything.  Cruz is doing better in the southeastern counties that are reporting than the northern counties.

[cinyc]

Is it just me, or is the Idaho SoS projecting different #s than CNN?

They are, but I would guess that the CNN is official while the SOS is unofficial because it says unofficial at the top of the webpage.

Neither of the results are official.  They're just different unofficial tallies - one from the AP, another from the Idaho SoS.

[cinyc]

Is it just me, or is the Idaho SoS projecting different #s than CNN?

What's the SOS site?

http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/results/2016/PresidentialPrimary/ENR/candidates_by_county.html

[cinyc]

And Boise is going for Trump, but it might not be enough to counter the Mormon area Cruz landslide.

AP's Ada County is likely just the absentee vote so far.  Who knows if the election-day vote will match it?

[cinyc]

Cruz has now pulled ahead in Ada County.  19/145 reporting.

This will be close, but probably Cruz.

source?

Ada County Elections

https://adacounty.id.gov/elections/Election-Results/Live-Results

If that's the case, Cruz will likely break 40% statewide

Yeah, Ada County might be close, but if it is, Cruz wins because of his strength in the southeastern part of the state.

[cinyc]

Lots of Asians voting in Hawaii right now...who will they swing for?

If anyone says they know the answer to that question, they are lying.

[cinyc]

NBC calls Idaho for Cruz.

Fox News, too.

[cinyc]

CNN also for Cruz, he currently holds a 13 point lead over TRUMP and growing.

could he get over 50?

No.  He's not even over 50% in Eastern Idaho, where Cruz is doing best.  Rubio's being in the race won't allow that to happen.

[cinyc]

Anyone got news as to what is happening in Hawaii?

They are still voting for another 15 minutes.

The way Cruz is cleaning up in Eastern Idaho bodes well for him in the two heavily mormon Hawaii precincts near BYU Hawaii.  As for the rest of the Republicans in Hawaii, who knows?

[cinyc]

Any speculation as to when HI starts reporting?

No clue.  The Hawaii GOP website links to the AP results map for results.  Maybe they contracted with the AP to handle results, like one earlier state whose name escapes me right now?

[cinyc]

First Results (from Kauai):

Donald J. Trump   31   52.5%   
 Ted Cruz   17   28.8   
 John Kasich   6   10.2   
 Marco Rubio   5   8.5   
Other   0   0.0   
59 votes, 2% reporting (1 of 45 precincts)

[cinyc]

Two Kauai precincts in:


CANDIDATES   VOTE   PCT.   
 Donald J. Trump   77   48.4%   
 John Kasich   32   20.1   
 Ted Cruz   27   17.0   
 Marco Rubio   20   12.6   
Other   3   1.9   

[cinyc]

Trump leads by 14 points, with 13% reporting.
CANDIDATES   VOTE   PCT.   
 Donald J. Trump   241   42.1%   
 Ted Cruz   160   27.9   
 Marco Rubio   84   14.7   
 John Kasich   81   14.1   
Other   7   1.2   
573 votes, 13% reporting (6 of 45 precincts)

[cinyc]

Final results for that giant Honolulu site:

Trump 327
Cruz 285
Rubio 82
Kasich 47
Carson 6
Bush 1

Do you know the name of this site or what the HD was?