BREAKING-MS: Musgrove will run for Senate

[Kaine for Senate '18]

This will at least give us a fighting chance.  If it's Obama v. Romney, then he might be able to slip in based on the large black turnout and the possibility of Southern Evangelicals not going to the polls at all.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

What is the ceiling for a Democrat running for president in Mississippi, about 48%?

Assuming there is no third party candidate, I would say somewhere between 40-46%.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

What is the ceiling for a Democrat running for president in Mississippi, about 48%?

Assuming there is no third party candidate, I would say somewhere between 40-46%.

If it's a low-turnout special election, Democrats could go as high as 53%. Most likely range is 42-46%.

I only responded for a Presidential election.  In a contested Senate race, the Democrats could go between 50-55%.