How will these states be identified in 2032?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

-Alaska - Safe R
-Arizona- Tossup/Tilt R
-Colorado- Likely D
-Connecticut - Tossup
-Florida - tossup
-Georgia - Likely D
-Indiana - Safe R
-Iowa - Safe R
-Maine - Likely R
-Michigan - Tossup/Tilt R
-Minnesota - Lean R
-Nevada - Likely D
-New Hampshire - Likely R OMG OMG OMG
-New Mexico - Likely D
-North Carolina - Tossup/Tilt D
-Ohio - Likely R
-Oregon - Likely D
-Pennsylvania - Likely R
-Rhode Island - Lean D
-South Carolina - Lean R
-Texas - Lean D
-Utah - Safe R
-Virginia - Likely D
-Wisconsin - Likely R

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

-Connecticut - Tossup

Why would Connecticut be a tossup? Trump lost it by more than Bush did.

Bush had connections to CT. I think he was born in new haven. And I doubt it'll be a toss up either given the high black population in the Hartford area and the rich city types in Fairfield county. Best republicans can hope for are the house seats in district 2 and 5

Ah, you mean our historic base in the state and the easiest voters to win back??

If it were a true reverse southern strategy scenario, it wouldn't be unthinkable. Much more likely than MA or VT.

VT could actually be easier than CT. But a lot depends on who the nominees are over the next 3-4 cycles.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

-Connecticut - Tossup

Why would Connecticut be a tossup? Trump lost it by more than Bush did.

If GA is Likely D, and TX is Lean D, Republicans will be necessity need to compete for NJ, CT and ILL to stay competitive in the electoral college.

Politics is about evolution and I expect Dems to win 2020-2032.

RinoTom might be the GOP nominee in 2032.