LA: UNO: Edwards up 22!

[Miles]

Report.

Edwards (D) - 56%
Vitter (R) - 34%


Edwards gets 90% of blacks and only loses whites 47/42.

The black share of the electorate is 28%, which is closer to what we've been seeing in early voting.

Edwards is winning Dardenne voters 50/32 and Angelle voters 46/32.

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

CAN'T FELL THE JOHN BEL

[Skye]

It might not be crazy to think Edwards could win by a comfortable margin.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Is this outfit legit?

[Miles]

^ Yeah, UNO is the University of New Orleans. They've done polling for decades.

They had Landrieu losing the runoff last year 51/43. Their poll was taken before the primary, but considering that most undecideds broke against her, it was a pretty accurate result.

[DrScholl]

It's hard to see anyone making up that sort of gap in just a week, especially considering that even taking all the undecideds still would not result in a victory.

[The Other Castro]

Glad to see that the good people of Louisiana have some sense.

[Zache]

Very promising.

[Crumpets]

If Vitter wins, I think this would be the single worst set of polls before a single US election in modern memory. Can anybody think of a time when someone was more favored than Edwards is now, this close to the election, and ended up losing?

[Ebsy]

I should point out Jindal's approval ratings:

Approve: 20
Disapprove: 70
Don't Know: 9

Is that the worst approval rating for any politician in American history?

[Zache]

I should point out Jindal's approval ratings:

Approve: 20
Disapprove: 70
Don't Know: 9

Is that the worst approval rating for any politician in American history?

Not even the worst among current US governors

Brownback approval at 18%

[Landslide Lyndon]

I should point out Jindal's approval ratings:

Approve: 20
Disapprove: 70
Don't Know: 9

Is that the worst approval rating for any politician in American history?

I remember Bob Taft was at 9% back in 2006 and Rod Blagojevich at 3% when he was impeached.

[The Other Castro]

I'm just wondering who these 2% of initial Edwards voters are that switched their support to Vitter.

[Miles]

Also note that Nungesser is leading Holden 49/39 in the LG race. This poll would probably be less believable if the LG race were tied or had Holden ahead.

[Maxwell]

I DUNNO GUISE KENTUCKY KENTUCKY KENTUCKY

[Bojack Horseman]

Wouldn't it be funny if Vitter underperformed David Duke's percentage in 1991?

[Tender Branson]

Looking good for Edwards, but I'm still a bit sceptical after Kentucky.

The margin will likely be much smaller than that and if there's one state out there which could still elect a douche/asshole like Vitter, it's LA.

[Maxwell]

Likely D at this point.

I DUNNO GUISE KENTUCKY KENTUCKY KENTUCKY

Stop.

I'm aware my posts on this subject are annoying, but I only do it because I feel annoyed by dumb pessimism by certain posters here. I will say I enjoy Talleyrand's David Vitter trolling, though.

Looking good for Edwards, but I'm still a bit sceptical after Kentucky.

The margin will likely be much smaller than that and if there's one state out there which could still elect a douche/asshole like Vitter, it's LA.

SEE!!!

[DrScholl]

The Kentucky references are getting quite annoying.

[Xing]

Edwards is still doing quite well, though I'll want to see what the final polls say a week from now. I doubt he'll win by 22, but I could see him winning by high single digits, or possibly low double digits.

[ElectionsGuy]

Edwards is likely to win but he's not going to win by a 20 point margin. I find it very hard to believe a majority of Dardenne/Angelle voters will vote Edwards.

[/]

I can't wait to see everybody's reaction when Vitter ends up beating Edwards by like ten points.

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

I can't wait to see everybody's reaction when Vitter ends up beating Edwards by like ten points.

k

[Maxwell]

I can't wait to see everybody's reaction when Vitter ends up beating Edwards by like ten points.

Polls aren't off by 32 points.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I can't wait to see everybody's reaction when Vitter ends up beating Edwards by like ten points.

This is literally a perfect storm for Democrats. If they can't win this, they should IMMEDIATELY FORFEIT ALL THEIR SEATS IN THE LA HOUSE/SENATE as punishment for being so terribly dysfunctional.