538 Republican Presidential Odds: Bush, Walker, and Rubio at the top (user search)
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  538 Republican Presidential Odds: Bush, Walker, and Rubio at the top (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 Republican Presidential Odds: Bush, Walker, and Rubio at the top  (Read 4513 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344


« on: March 25, 2015, 12:49:54 AM »
« edited: March 25, 2015, 12:51:31 AM by Likely Voter »

Its worth listening to the podcast. They do discuss Kasich and Pence and say that if either showed serious interest (and especially if others ran into trouble) they could become top tier.

We are getting closer and closer to the point where it is hard to discuss people who arent doing anything (or very little) in terms of setting up campaigns.  So the bias is towards those who are clearly running.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344


« Reply #1 on: March 25, 2015, 01:19:59 AM »

Its worth listening to the podcast. They do discuss Kasich and Pence and say that if either showed serious interest (and especially if others ran into trouble) they could become top tier.

We are getting closer and closer to the point where it is hard to discuss people who arent doing anything (or very little) in terms of setting up campaigns.  So the bias is towards those who are clearly running.

Yeah, I get that. But Pence has shown no interest in running and even shut down a bill allowing him to run for president and Governor simultaneously. Meanwhile, Kasich has been open about considering a run and touring the early primary states. If you're going to include one but not the other, it should be Kasich.

Also, if they're going to include Warren on the D side then they should include Romney on the R side.

As I said, in the podcast they talk about Pence and Kasich, don't get caught up on the graphic. They actually note how Kasich is in a category of his own if he runs.

As for Warren, they are mixing the candidates who are likely to be running running with the 'what if Hillary didnt run?' scenario candidates (which is where Warren comes in). I think, and they hint at this, it is just more interesting than saying..."and for the Dems, Hillary wins, discussion over"
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