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[man these are bad candidates]

It's basically a toss up but I have been unimpressed with Trone so far.. Alsobrooks may have slight edge if forced to choose, Race Polarization could be significant in the Democratic primary.

I never imaged I say this but Alsobrooks is not a shoe-in to beat Hogan if she makes that far.  She probably wins anyway due to it being a pres year but man these are bad candidates when you compare to Gallego or the California field..

Democrats wouldn't have had to bring their A-game in this race against anyone but Hogan, but he didn't announce until the day of the filing deadline and until then, there was zero indication that he was going to run.

Even if they had tho who could Md Dems run as a so called sure winner against Hogan? Besides Wes Moore I guess?

[but Trump has always sucked at debates]

I have full confidence in Biden. Sure, he isn't his 2012 self, but Trump has always sucked at debates...

Trump during the 2016 primaries was a classic, the highlights from when he was taking on the entire field never gets old. There is also an argument to be made that he won both debates in 2020.

Not a good one.

Biden has the most gain and to lose from the debate. However it's a bit too early for it to make any lasting difference. At best he gets a small temporary spike like after the SOTU. I guess if he fumbles badly it could hurt him, but I don't expect that, in part because the "senile old fool" image is so baked in that it sets the bar incredibly low for a good performance to the general public. Like in 2000, all Bush had to do at the first debate was prove he had the most basic understanding of the issues at hand and he won, all Biden has to do is prove he can speak in complete sentences and he wins.

Disgraceful. Whistle-blowers perform a valuable service to society.

Guys that’s been wrong about everything is wrong some more

Is this the most recommended post in atlas history? That'd be ironic since it was ultimately wrong.

The fact it has even more recs now than it did before I bumped this thread is lol worthy. He was proven completely right here but it’s easier to yell how evil neoliberalism is than realize that passing over a trillion dollar stimulus at a time when the economy was growing very fast is extremely inflationary.

The situation in March of 2021 was not comparable to Feb 2009 at all yet everyone treated it as it was and did a much bigger stimulus than Feb 2009 which was ridiculous.

 He wasn't proven right at all and was predicting much worse inflation. What we got for having a global pandemic and Russian invasion of Ukraine disrupting energy to most of Europe is remarkably manageable, more so than anybody predicated, thanks in part to the policies of Joe Biden.

 The remedies Larry Summers was touting were also wrong:

 Larry Summers Was Wrong About Inflation

Yellen criticizes Summers on inflation: He’s ‘been wrong in the past’

“He’s a person who’s been wrong in the past,” Yellen said of Summers during a House Ways and Means Committee hearing. “He said that it would absolutely take a recession to bring inflation down, and that turned out to be a serious misjudgment.”

Yellen has hardly had a good performance her term as Secretary of the Treasury. Suggest you find a better source to criticize Summers with.

  Yellen did a great job. She was "wrong" on calling inflation transitory according to the media but that was the mainstream view including Powell believing so.

To quote John Cochrane of Stanford: "The Federal Reserve saying they were surprised by inflation is like an army saying they were surprised by an invasion." If that's what happened, you still failed.

That's more Powell than Yellen, but Yellen is the conduit from the administration, she was much better as Fed Chair than a partisan job like running Treasury (probably true for most buteaucrats, and her performance in post-FOMC meeting stand-up interviews with the financial press has been maligned.

As I said these debated aren't gonna matter until we vote we clearly see a Trump bias in most of them due to INFLATION, so we just have to vote to reelect Biden

Lol the difference between polls now and in 22 should be inflated prices it's 3 percent now it was 5/8 percent in 22 that's where polls are making their mistakes, but we are gonna get some version of 270 to 319 as long as Biden is reelected

How were polls affected after the first debate of 2020 with Trump’s disastrous performance?

Anyone know?

I think they were good for Biden, but it barely mattered by election day since polling was amiss.

Debates matter only in the short term unless a significant moment becomes seized upon by the opposition (like Oz's women, doctor, and government officials comment).

Biden gained about 3 points of margin in 538's average in the 2 weeks after the first debate, although by Election Day he'd given back about 2 of them.

Unforced error for Biden to push for the mic rule. He won the first debate in 2020 due to Trump being unable to shut up.

He'll undoubtedly still shout anyway. He'll look even dumber if he does with the studio mics kinda picking it up but not at full volume.

Ok beep boop

this is a redav insult, no content no originality

Original smidginal, it fits like a glove.

yeah, nothing makes an insult better than running into the ground.  Totally normal behaviour and not the actions of a group of bullies.

I mean, I figured the “if that’s what your parents told you to believe” would be more original, factual but someone other then OSR would probably have a fit about it…

The reason I cited them is because you guys basically would reject every source a blue avatar would post about education policy so I was “my mom who works in a school corroborates this”. So no that’s just confirming the source we’d use but you guys don’t believe anything that’s not in your liberal media bubble .

It’s the same reason why you guys mocked Summers here , because he went contrary to what MSNBC/NY Times/Wa Post were telling then and he turned out to be right .

I presume you oppose Trump's further tax cut promise then.