How do you think the 2014 elections will go?

[Vosem]

Obama's 1986. Small Republican gains in the House -- large Republican gains in the Senate, perhaps Republicans even take the majority -- but a reasonably. successful cycle for the Democrats in terms of governorships and state legislatures.

Slight losses in both houses. A good surprise is always possible, but let's be prudent so early before the election.

So is a bad surprise ...

[Vosem]

Obama's 1986. Small Republican gains in the House -- large Republican gains in the Senate, perhaps Republicans even take the majority -- but a reasonably. successful cycle for the Democrats in terms of governorships and state legislatures.

Which states in particular do you think Democrats will do well in? 

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Vosem?

State legislatures, I don't really know. But Governorships, from my vantage point right now I can see FL, SC, PA, or MI falling to the Democrats, and many other states, like IA and OH, look vulnerable (and big parts of the rural West have supported Democratic governors before). Really, it's the reverse of the Senate elections; the Democrats have so much more opportunities than the Republicans do that they're bound to do well somewhere. The reverse is the case in the Senate.