Gerrymandering Virginia

[RBH]

Here's my attempt



CD01 (skyblue, Nova): Fairfax (part), Arlington, Alexandria City, Falls Church City

CD02 (green, Nova): Fairfax (part), Fairfax City

CD03 (skyblue, Nova): Prince William, Loudoun, Fauquier, Manassas City, Fairfax (Part), Warren, Frederick (part), Clarke, Manassas Park City

CD04 (gold): Stafford, Rockingham, Augusta, Frederick (part), Harrisonburg (part), Shenandoah, Culpeper, Orange, Staunton city, Winchester city, Page, Spotsylvania (part), Waynesboro city, Fredericksburg city, King George, Westmoreland, Greene, Madison, Northumberland, Lancaster, Middlesex, Rappahannock, Bath, Highland

CD05 (orange): Hanover, Ablemarle, Spotsylvania (part), Lynchburg city, Charlottesville city, Amherst, Louisa, Caroline, Rockbridge, Fluvanna, Prince Edward, Alleghany, Goochland, Bedford (part), Botetourt (part), Buckingham, Nelson, King Nelson, Charlotte, Cumberland, Lexington City, Buena Vista City, Covington City, New Kent

CD06 (skyblue): Henrico, Richmond City, Chesterfield (part), Prince George, Isle of Wight, Hopewell city, Colonial Heights, Sussex, New Kent (part), Charles City County, Surry

CD07 (pink): Chesterfield, Newport News city, James City County, Suffolk, Petersburg, Dinwiddie, Brunswick, Southampton, Williamsburg City, Greenville, Essex, Richmond County, Franklin city, King and Queen, Emporia city, Portsmouth (part)

CD08 (yellow): Pittsylvania, Henry, Campbell, Danville city, Franklin, Bedford (part), Halifax, Pulaski, Smyth, Mecklenberg, Carroll, Wythe, Powhatan, Patrick, Nottoway, Martinsville city, Floyd, Appomattox, Lunenburg, Amelia, Galax city, Bedford city

CD09 (green): Roanoke city, Roanoke county, Montgomery, Washington, Tazewell, Wise, Russell, Buchanan, Salem, Lee, Scott, Grayson, Bristol city, Giles, Dickenson, Radford city, Botetourt (part), Bland, Craig, Norton city

CD10 (green, SEVA): Norfolk city, Hampton city, Portsmouth city (part), York, Accomack, Gloucester, Northampton, Poquoson city, Mathews county

CD11 (orange): Virginia Beach city, Chesapeake city, Suffolk city (part)

Incumbents
CD01: Moran (D)
CD02: Davis (R) and Wolf (R)
CD03: Open
CD04: Open
CD05: Open
CD06: Cantor (R)
CD07: Scott (D)
CD08: Goode (R)
CD09: Boucher (D) and Goodlatte (R)
CD10: JA Davis (R) and Drake (R)
CD11: Forbes (R)

The exact splits of split counties

Botetourt: 16233 in CD5, 14273 in CD9
Portsmouth: 99413 in CD10, 1152 in CD7
Suffolk: 44617 in CD7, 19060 in CD11
Bedford: 44078 in CD8, 16293 in CD5
Chesterfield: 212309 in CD7, 47594 in CD6
New Kent: 7532 in CD6, 5930 in CD5
Spotsylvania: 70664 in CD5, 19731 in CD4
Frederick: 43275 in CD4, 15934 in CD3
Fairfax County: 315389 in CD1, 622004 in CD2, 32356 in CD3

Political temperature for these districts (without splitting the split counties)

CD01: 62/37 Webb
CD02: 59/40 Webb
CD03: 54/45 Webb
CD04: 59/40 Allen
CD05: 55/44 Allen
CD06: 50/48.8 Allen
CD07: 50/49 Allen
CD08: 61/38 Allen
CD09: 54/45 Allen
CD10: 56/43 Webb
CD11: 52/47 Allen

Consequences of the map

CD01: Dem hold
CD02: Dem pickup
CD03: Leans Dem
CD04: Rep
CD05: Leans Rep
CD06: Tossup
CD07: Tossup
CD08: Rep
CD09: Tossup
CD10: Leans Dem
CD11: Leans Rep

This moves Virginia from 8-3 Rep to between 7-4 Rep and 7-4 Dem

Although Bobby Scott could use a few more safe areas too.

Any thoughts?

[RBH]

Also, if I could get Hanover and Goochland into CD08 from CD06, and move something to CD06, I think CD06 becomes a tossup.

[Mr.Phips]

I would just make some minor changes:

Shift Portsmouth from VA-03 into VA-04, while shifting Chesterfield county from VA-04 to VA-03. 

This makes VA-04 about 50%/50% between Bush and Kerry and about 55%/45% in favor of Jim Webb.  This district would be one of the most evenly divided in the country. 

VA-03 would now be 59%/41% for Kerry and 64%/36% for Webb.

Shift some Alexandria precincts between from VA-08 into VA-10 while moving some of the more outer precincts of Arlington county into VA-08 from VA-10. 

This makes VA-10 another 50%/50% Bush/Kerry district and about 55%/45% in favor of Webb.

VA-08 becomes 59%/41% Kerry and 63%/37% Webb.

[Padfoot]

why are all the cities marked in blue?

[RBH]

the blue dots are for split counties/cities

[Mr.Phips]

Where do you make these maps?

[RBH]

I just took a map of Virginia from this site (use print screen to get the map though) and I used MSPaint

[Mr.Phips]

How do you post maps on here?

[RBH]

Put IMG in brackets [ and ] and put the URL in between the first bracket and the bracket that is /IMG

[Mr.Phips]

[Smash255]

How do you post maps on here?

you would need to host it on a url such as imageshack, load it there and copy the url from there

[nclib]

Does anyone have the Webb/Allen results for the current districts?