2016 Senate Ratings and Predictions (user search)
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Author Topic: 2016 Senate Ratings and Predictions  (Read 52818 times)
The Other Castro
Castro2020
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Posts: 11,230
United States


« on: May 20, 2015, 02:45:36 PM »

Mike Bennett is prone to lose; it all depends on the candidates. But, dems dont necessarily need CO; Toomey, Portman, Ayotte, and FL open are Dem targets.

Its all about putting together 270 and four voted necessary for Dem majority


You're causing me physical pain.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2015, 01:56:16 PM »
« Edited: August 03, 2015, 02:01:44 PM by Castro »

Safe R:
Alabama
Idaho
Kansas
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Utah


Likely R:
Alaska
Arkansas
Georgia
Indiana
Iowa
Kentucky
Louisiana


Lean R:
Arizona
Missouri
North Carolina


Tilt R:
Ohio
Pennsylvania
New Hampshire


Toss-Up:
Florida
Nevada


Tilt D:
None

Lean D:
Illinois
Wisconsin

Colorado


Likely D:
Washington
California


Safe D:
Connecticut
Hawaii
Maryland
New York
Oregon
Vermont
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2015, 03:32:05 PM »

Why do so many of you still rate the GA Senate race "Likely Republican"?

There's always the off-chance that Holcomb or Carter could run and make it somewhat competitive. IMO, a safe label should only be applied if there are no realistically forseeable events that could make the race more competitive (such as Alabama or Oklahoma).
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2015, 12:41:56 PM »

Updated map with some big changes:



>60%: Safe
>40%: Likely
>30%: Lean
Green: Toss-up

Why is NH more likely to flip than IL/OH/FL?

Let's just say A Yot has changed.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2015, 07:46:47 PM »

Safe R:
Alabama
Idaho
Kansas
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Utah


Likely R:
Alaska
Arkansas
Georgia
Indiana
Iowa
Kentucky


Lean R:
Arizona
North Carolina
Louisiana


Tilt R:
Ohio
Missouri
Pennsylvania


Toss-Up:
Florida
Nevada


Tilt D:
New Hampshire*

Lean D:
Illinois*
Wisconsin*

Colorado


Likely D:
Washington
California


Safe D:
Connecticut
Hawaii
Maryland
New York
Oregon
Vermont
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