All things being equal, I think this is what the electoral map will look like in 2012. I don't believe, however, that all things will be nearly equal. Also, I think that 2012 will also be the breaking point of the current alignment and start our country off in a totally different direction. I'll explain in what I invision happening over the next couple of days.
Pretty good, though I think Michigan is trending Republican. Also, Illinois might have a very small Republican trend, but not like the one you put in there. I also agree that Georgia will be getting closer, but I don't think it will be that changed by 2012. New Mexico is a hard state to predict. It all depends on how Hispanics trend. I put it at slightly lean Dem, but your version seems completely plausible also. As a side note, Pennsylvania will be a toss up if not slightly leaning towards the Republicans by 2012.
I don't seee much change in PA from slight Dem lean by 2012. The Republican drifts in the wesy will continue to be canceled out by Dem shifts in the SE and the state as a whole willbbe little changed
