MI-Mitchell Research (R): Tied race (or Romney/Ryan+1)

[tmthforu94]

Well, on stuff like this, I just base how good of news it is based on their last polls - the poll they came out with back on the 13th had Obama ahead by 5. So based off that, a six point swing is very good for Mitt.

[tmthforu94]

I wish this were true... but I'm not buying it for a second.. Romney has virtually no chance in Michigan, unless he wins nationally by a lot.

Romney won't win Michigan without winning the election.

That being said, I could see Michigan being one of the first states to vote for Romney after the 270 mark.

^^^This, in my opinion, is probably Romney's most realistic shot at 270, with Ryan as his VP. Now, after that, Iowa is probably next to fall, and after that, Colorado and New Hampshire. But after that point, I'd say Michigan is arguably the most likely state to fall to Romney, more than Pennsylvania, Nevada, or New Mexico.