VA-Q: Perriello, Gillespie lead primaries, Dems lead GE (user search)
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  VA-Q: Perriello, Gillespie lead primaries, Dems lead GE (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-Q: Perriello, Gillespie lead primaries, Dems lead GE  (Read 1714 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,525
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« on: April 11, 2017, 12:13:47 PM »

Not good! Still a huge amount of undecideds, but Perriello has all the momentum. He's the frontrunner now.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,525
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2017, 12:52:48 PM »
« Edited: April 11, 2017, 12:58:23 PM by heatcharger »

The end result for the general election will probably be much closer than this, but good on Perriello for taking the lead in the primary.

Agreed, Republicans close hard in this state, but it's essentially impossible for Republicans win this state with Fairfax County going at least 60% Democratic.

Yeah, undecideds will still probably break towards Republicans as usual. However, it's a mistake to think Gillespie will replicate his 2014 performance in NOVA. That race was an anomaly in my opinion, and the political climate is much different now.

The question now is whether the Democrat will have strong enough coattails to significantly narrow the Republican majority in the State House.

Remember when people said this was a toss up, lol!

Likely D

Yeah, polls have never overestimated Democratic support in Virginia before.

Lol:

RCP Averages: McAullife 46.3% Warner 48.5%
Final Results: McAullife 48.0% Warner 49.2%

Hardly looks like overestimating Democratic support to me. Undecideds broke towards Republicans like they always do.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,525
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #2 on: April 15, 2017, 10:20:32 AM »

So this is actually good news for Republicans since the Democrats are at 44-46%?

This is a poll done 7 months before an election with the two Democratic candidates having ~30% name ID. Trash-tier trolling I must say.
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