Sabato Update: A Small Senate Battlefield

[ElectionsGuy]

A good read if you're an election nerd like me.

IL: Toss-up --> Lean D
NC: Lean R --> Likely R

FL-13: Likely R --> Toss-Up (still pending new district)

Important points included:

The connection of the presidential race to the Senate races,
Illinois blue tilt (with historic data from other states too) that suggests Kirk is very vulnerable
North Carolina Democrats lack of top tier candidates
Other contested Senate seats that Democrats might need (OH, NH, PA).