Washington Primary results thread (both parties; “polls close” at 11pm ET) (user search)
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  Washington Primary results thread (both parties; “polls close” at 11pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Washington Primary results thread (both parties; “polls close” at 11pm ET)  (Read 10218 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,791


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: May 24, 2016, 12:04:02 PM »

Considering Oregon, that seems unlikely.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,791


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2016, 04:36:38 PM »
My (somewhat) naďve prior would be that Trump should do best in counties like Pacific, Grays Harbor, Cowlitz, Lewis, Mason, Pierce, and maybe Kitsap. I could also see Trump doing well in the Ferry/Stevens/Pend Oreille trio and Skamania/Klickitat, though I could just as easily see Cruz doing relatively well there. Kasich should do his best in King, Island, Jefferson, Thurston, Whitman, San Juan, Snohomish, etc. Spokane, Whatcom County, the Tri-Cities, and Vancouver seem relatively Cruz-friendly, though Kasich did fairly well in the Portland area.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,791


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: May 24, 2016, 04:40:45 PM »
Quote from: RaphaelDLG on May 24, 2016, 04:39:05 PM
The people voting in beauty contest primaries are voting not for the beauty contest but to vote in other local primary races.  We all know, unfortunately, the younger Sanders crowd is less likely to vote in those races and are therefore underrepresented despite the turnout being higher.

AFAIK, there aren't any local primary races today. Given the nature of how the ballot is set up, I don't see how there could be any.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,791


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: May 24, 2016, 10:10:46 PM »
Nothing from any of the major counties in yet. Mostly eastern WA too.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,791


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: May 24, 2016, 10:12:31 PM »
Hillary well ahead in King County's first dump.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,791


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: May 24, 2016, 10:22:24 PM »
Trump's weakest counties so far are Garfield and Island.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,791


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: May 24, 2016, 10:28:14 PM »
Quote from: xingkerui on May 24, 2016, 10:27:00 PM
Here's an idea, how about we outlaw beauty contests? They're really nothing but a waste of money, and only give us unrepresentative data. I'm saying that as someone who voted in this.

Far better to trash the caucuses.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,791


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: May 24, 2016, 10:35:26 PM »
Seems a bit early to call this to me.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,791


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: May 25, 2016, 12:10:19 AM »
Fun fact: Ben Carson came in second in SDA-theocracy College Place.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,791


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: May 25, 2016, 06:53:54 PM »
Clark County flips to Sanders.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,791


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: May 26, 2016, 05:01:00 PM »
Quote from: The Unbearable Invicibility of Hillary Clinton on May 26, 2016, 04:57:43 PM
Skamania is the coolest name for a county.  I'm sure it's something Native American, but as far as I'm concerned they're crazy for the Ska (music).

It's Chinook for "swift waters"
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