Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[Mehmentum]

What % wouldn't vote for X if they were the nominee?:

To be fair, those are terrible numbers for all three of them.

[Fargobison]

Looking like I expected Trump in the mid-50s.

I don't know why Cruz wastes his time on these states. He should just live in Indiana.

[Mr. Morden]

[Mr. Morden]

probably Trump 55% with Kasich taking most #nevertrump voters and Cruz at less than 15%

Trump is at 56% on electability, while Cruz is at 16%.  Doesn't Trump usually do better in these polls on electability than he does on actual votes, while Cruz is the reverse?

[The Other Castro]

probably Trump 55% with Kasich taking most #nevertrump voters and Cruz at less than 15%

Trump is at 56% on electability, while Cruz is at 16%.  Doesn't Trump usually do better in these polls on electability than he does on actual votes, while Cruz is the reverse?

Yeah I think adjusting for that using Wisconsin numbers would put Trump at 54% and Cruz at 21% statewide.

[Ronnie]

Looking like I expected Trump in the mid-50s.

I don't know why Cruz wastes his time on these states. He should just live in Indiana.

Yes, and Trump should camp out in CT over the next week so that he triggers WTA.

[Mr. Morden]

[Fargobison]

I think that's an unusually high score for the second one on that poll question?

Terrorism was 30% in Wisconsin.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

I'm very, very concerned that Trump is under 50, maybe even lower, but I'm glad y'all are optimistic.

[Volrath50]

Looking like I expected Trump in the mid-50s.

I don't know why Cruz wastes his time on these states. He should just live in Indiana.

I suppose Cruz may have been hoping to:
A) Keep Trump below 50%
B) Finish ahead of Kasich
C) Avoid a truly embarrassing result, like about 15% or so

Looks like he's probably failed on all three accounts, but they may have been achievable.

[Mehmentum]

Similarly to Clinton, since this is almost exclusively downstate exit polling, I'm not that confident about Trump's chances.

[PaperKooper]

I'm very, very concerned that Trump is under 50, maybe even lower, but I'm glad y'all are optimistic.

Yeah, everything so far is from the city right?

[Fargobison]

I'm very, very concerned that Trump is under 50, maybe even lower, but I'm glad y'all are optimistic.

Yeah, everything so far is from the city right?

I believe the city and Buffalo.

But Buffalo should be a bastion of Trumpism.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Guys let's be realistic here, TRUMP is not finishing under 50% ok?

[RI]

I'm very, very concerned that Trump is under 50, maybe even lower, but I'm glad y'all are optimistic.

Yeah, everything so far is from the city right?

I believe the city and Buffalo.

Specifically, all of NYC plus Nassau, Suffolk, Westchester, Rockland, Orange, Putnam and Erie.

[Fargobison]

It was interesting that MSNBC was reporting from a precinct where over 200 Dems wanted to switch to the GOP. I wonder just how much this closed primary has hurt the orange one.

[Mr. Morden]

[RI]

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[Mr. Morden]

[Gass3268]

It was interesting that MSNBC was reporting from a precinct where over 200 Dems wanted to switch to the GOP. I wonder just how much this closed primary has hurt the orange one.

That was in Howard Beach, one of the most Republican areas in NYC.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Trump is doing significantly better upstate (save 2-3 districts) so I don't know what this hoopla is about with the City being advantageous.

[Alcon]

I think that caveat was indicating that they believe employed people in upstate New York were underrepresented in the poll, not that nothing outside of NYC was included.  It would make no sense to totally exclude upstate interviews just because some people there vote later.

I also think the likely difference between upstate and downstate might be being overplayed in this thread.

[Volrath50]

Did I just see a Donald Trump Super PAC ad on CNN? It was really bad (I think they might have used a text-to-speech voice over) and asked people to call some number to pledge their support to Donald Trump.

[Beezer]

What #s is everyone talking about?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Did I just see a Donald Trump Super PAC ad on CNN? It was really bad (I think they might have used a text-to-speech voice over) and asked people to call some number to pledge their support to Donald Trump.

I saw it om cartoon network once when watching Family Guy lol