Michigan poll

[12th Doctor]

It's not just Nader.  Bush scoured FAR better in Minnisota in 2000 than any Republican since the 50's not including Nixon in 72 and Reagan in 84.  Minnesota is treading more Republican in general.  The presence of a Republican governor, Republican Senator and Republican state Senate should also help Bush.  I predict a 50%-48%-2% margin for Bush this year.

One thing that I haven't thought that was mentioned earlier, but in a different way is that Kerry HAS been campaigning non-stop.  He must be getting tired.  If he does than he is likly to make a few gaffes here and there.  This could hurt his standing with the voters.

Anyway, Bush is just starting to campaign so I would say (as I have before) that we can expect his numbers to take a jump here soon.

[12th Doctor]

I acctually have a theory that Buchanan never really left the Republicans.  I think that he may have been a plant from the GOP to break-up the Reform Party.  Think about it, Perot was nothing like Buchanan. Why would they switch?  Just a theory, can't be proved.  I don't care if it is true, it's a solid strategy.