2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread  (Read 232493 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: April 25, 2017, 12:32:55 PM »

IA-3: Pete D'Alessandro will announce a bid on Tuesday. He was the top Iowa staffer for Bernie Sanders in 2016.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/apr/25/pete-dalessandro-congress-iowa-bernie-sanders-staffer
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1 on: April 25, 2017, 03:04:59 PM »

CA-22 (Nunes, R): Andrew Janz (D), prosecutor for the Fresno County District Attorney’s office says he will run.

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/4/25/1655146/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Live-Digest-4-25#update-1493133645000

VA-10 (Comstock, R): Dorothy McAuliffe (D), wife of Gov. Terry McAuliffe, is weighing a run.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/dorothy-mcauliffe-wife-of-va-governor-is-testing-the-waters-for-a-congressional-run/2017/04/25/7fdf9ac4-2920-11e7-be51-b3fc6ff7faee_story.html?tid=ss_tw&utm_term=.a91581534ca5
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #2 on: May 05, 2017, 05:07:22 PM »

TX-23 (Will Hurd, R): EMILY's List is looking at some potential non-Gallego recruits.

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http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/05/05/congressman-will-hurd-texas-republican-profile-215102
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: May 08, 2017, 10:32:27 AM »
« Edited: May 08, 2017, 11:23:51 AM by Castro »

Former Cuomo aide Gareth Rhodes will challenge John Faso (NY-19).

http://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2017/05/07/former-cuomo-aide-to-challenge-faso-111866

Laura Moser, founder of Daily Action, is running in TX-7 against John Culberson.

https://moserforcongress.com
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: May 08, 2017, 01:10:41 PM »

DCCC is trying to recruit Jim Gray (who may or may not be interested) for a run in KY-6 against Andy Barr.

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/861640729172611075
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: May 11, 2017, 03:08:55 PM »

Looks like Bryan Caforio is going to announce a rematch bid for CA-25 against Steve Knight.

https://twitter.com/BryanCaforio/status/862390491559505920
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #6 on: May 15, 2017, 01:47:41 PM »
« Edited: May 15, 2017, 01:52:48 PM by Castro »

CA-10 (Jeff Denham, R): Ex-Riverbank Mayor Virginia Madueno, and Former astronaut Jose Hernandez are both considering runs.

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/5/15/1661753/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Live-Digest-5-15?t=1494865338016#update-1494865337000

In other news, it sounds like Kathy Hochul is going to stay on as Lt. Gov, and not challenge Chris Collins.

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/lt-gov-hochul-plans-cuomo-running-mate-2018-article-1.3165696
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #7 on: May 16, 2017, 04:36:08 PM »

MN-3 (Erik Paulsen, R): Vodka and Gelato Tycoon Dean Phillips (D) is running.

http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/erik-paulsen-dean-phillips-minnesota
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #8 on: May 18, 2017, 11:51:15 AM »
« Edited: May 18, 2017, 01:09:38 PM by Castro »

MI-8 (Mike Bishop, R): Former Defense Dept. official Elissa Slotkin considering a run.

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/5/18/1663669/-Former-Defense-Department-official-Elissa-Slotkin-mulling-bid-against-Michigan-GOP-Rep-Mike-Bishop


CO-6: (Mike Coffman, R): Former Obama energy official Levi Tillemann forms exploritory committee.

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/5/18/1663721/-Former-Obama-energy-official-Levi-Tillemann-forms-committee-against-Colorado-Rep-Mike-Coffman
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #9 on: May 22, 2017, 11:56:40 AM »
« Edited: May 22, 2017, 12:41:06 PM by Castro »

CA-39 (Ed Royce, R): Orange County Pediatrician Mai-Khanh is running.

https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2017/05/congress-the-doctors-will-see-you-now/527244/

MN-8 (Rick Nolan, D): If Nolan runs for Governor, Former Grand Marais Mayor and Cook County commissioner Sue Hakes (D) might run. She just formed an exploratory committee.

http://www.duluthnewstribune.com/news/politics/4270567-hakes-exploring-run-8th-district-seat

MN-1 (Tim Walz, D): Walz is retiring to run for Governor, and Army Veteran Dan Feehan (D) is "preparing to run".

https://www.wsj.com/articles/democrats-enlist-veterans-ahead-of-2018-house-elections-1495394418

OH-1 (Steve Chabot, R): In addition to Portune, the DCCC is also looking at Cincinnati councilman P.G. Sittenfield.

http://wvxu.org/post/do-democrats-believe-they-have-real-shot-defeating-chabot#stream/0
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #10 on: May 28, 2017, 08:32:08 AM »


I have doubts about Berniecrats winning districts which swung right of late... We saw an example in MT-AL recently..

We saw an example of what happens when you nominate a stoner, tax avoiding, nudist associating, politically inexperienced folk singer.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #11 on: July 10, 2017, 05:14:51 PM »

SD-AL: Tim Bjorkman (D), retired circuit court judge, will announce a run on Thursday for the open seat.

https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2017/07/10/former-circuit-court-judge-run-u-s-house/464186001/
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #12 on: August 22, 2017, 08:17:42 PM »


Smart Move. Imagine he'll likely challenge Gardner in 2020 and become the Dem nominee favorite and will start as the GE favorite.

why would he run for Senate when he quit instead of running for Governor? doesn't seem like Perlmutter wants a promotion.

He probably thought he couldn't beat Polis in a primary.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #13 on: August 26, 2017, 01:21:39 PM »

Sanders campaign staffer Pete D'Alessandro officially running for IA-3.

https://twitter.com/peteforiowa/status/901490077053988864
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2017, 04:44:51 PM »

Archie Parnell sounds like he’s going to announce another run for SC-5 in 2018.

http://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/article176739486.html
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #15 on: October 16, 2017, 12:45:16 PM »

When you think politics can't get any stranger:

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Endorsed.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #16 on: October 20, 2017, 05:05:16 PM »

3Q fundraising numbers for the Republicans in FL-27:

Bruno Barreiro - $42K
Raquel Regalado - $15K
Bettina Rodriguez Aguilera (potential alien abductee) - $5K

Meanwhile, the Democrats' numbers for the 3Q are:

Matt Haggman - $510K
Mary Barzee Flores - $303K
José Javier Rodríguez - $272K
David Richardson - $264K
Ken Russell - $222K
Kristen Rosen Gonzalez - $49K

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/10/20/1708539/-Republican-candidates-for-Ros-Lehtinen-s-seat-are-fundraising-like-they-ve-given-up
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #17 on: November 22, 2017, 01:16:56 PM »
« Edited: November 22, 2017, 02:48:51 PM by Castro »

According to Nathan Gonzales, Rep. Joe Barton (R - TX-6) will be announcing his retirement or resignation soon.

https://twitter.com/nathanlgonzales/status/933096907693473792

There's apparently some...revealing...photos floating around that may or may not be real. I saw them on Twitter before but I can't find it again now.

EDIT: OMG it's real lol

https://www.politico.com/story/2017/11/22/gop-congressman-barton-apologizes-for-nude-selfie-259442
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #18 on: November 29, 2017, 03:56:15 PM »

Potentially big: “Syracuse Mayor Stephanie Miner reconsiders: She may challenge John Katko for Congress”

https://t.co/2K6pUcsfCp
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #19 on: November 29, 2017, 04:02:17 PM »

^Can you edit your post with the shortened link in my post? My initial one was accidentally too long and it’s messing up the page.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #20 on: December 14, 2017, 04:34:34 PM »

Dave Wasserman‏ @Redistrict
Hearing of a poll in #OH15 showing Dem in a surprisingly close race against NRCC Chair Rep. Steve Stivers (R). Makes sense: @CookPolitical PVI is only R+7 & district includes Athens & Columbus burbs.

2:47 PM - 14 Dec 2017

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/941394177048408069
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #21 on: December 18, 2017, 03:55:52 PM »

Yikes. Dem internal poll has Ed Royce in CA-39 up 48-44. https://www.scribd.com/document/367450908/CA-39-Tulchin-Research-for-Gil-Cisneros-Nov-2017

Throws some cold water on the hopes of a California sweep.

It's been clear for a while that Royce is in a much better position than Issa/Rohrabacher.

I believe that if Democrats can't win his district, they're not winning back the house. It went to Clinton by 8.5 points, the most out of any of those OC districts.

Just taking the Clinton/Trump margin isn't the biggest factor in a lot of races. For example, Comstock (C+10) is much more likely to lose than Valadao (C+15.5), Bacon (T+2.2) is more likely to lose than Katko (C+3.3), and LoBiondo's open seat (T+4.6) is more likely to flip than Royce, as well as many other examples.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #22 on: December 20, 2017, 05:28:33 PM »

PPP has a bunch of (I think) new House polls:

CA-10: Denham trails Generic Democrat 49-41
CA-39: Royce trails Generic Democrat 46-43
CA-45: Walters trails Generic Democrat 45-41
NJ-11: Frelinghuysen trails Generic Democrat 49-40
PA-08: Fitzpatrick trails Generic Democrat 47-41

https://mobile.twitter.com/ppppolls/status/943596029068312576?ref_src=twcamp%5Eshare%7Ctwsrc%5Eios%7Ctwgr%5Eother
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #23 on: December 24, 2017, 05:20:08 PM »

Democrats are now running in all but 20 districts.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/24/us/democrats-house-control-2018-midterms.html?_r=0
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #24 on: January 02, 2018, 01:27:44 PM »


This race was always going to be abandoned at some point, though it's notable how early it's happening.
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