South Australian Parliamentary Elections Thread (March 15, 2014) (user search)
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  South Australian Parliamentary Elections Thread (March 15, 2014) (search mode)
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Author Topic: South Australian Parliamentary Elections Thread (March 15, 2014)  (Read 15436 times)
MaxQue
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« on: December 12, 2013, 09:18:31 PM »

Obviously, a fair map doesn't ensure than the popular vote winner will win the election especially when a pary has its vote concentrated in an area. In Canada, see Manitoba (Progressive-Conservatives are doing 70%-80% in rural area, but lose all urban seats by a close margin) or Quebec (Liberals are doing 80%-90% in the anglophone seats, but it doesn't help to win swing districts).
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2014, 01:51:07 PM »

Embarassing for Liberals. I'm pretty sure everyone expected them to win.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2014, 12:51:13 AM »

Two things.

1. Surprised to see a Labor seat in what seems to be the Outback.

2. Surprised to see a swing to Labor in Adelaide suburbs/exurbs.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #3 on: March 19, 2014, 02:50:35 PM »

I think someone indicated earlier than postal votes were leaning Labor, usually.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #4 on: March 19, 2014, 05:50:59 PM »
« Edited: March 19, 2014, 05:53:13 PM by MaxQue »

I think someone indicated earlier than postal votes were leaning Labor, usually.
So it's possible that Mitchell flips and hands Labor a majority government? What would be the chances of that?

Assuming that same number of declaration votes than in 2010, Labor would needs 61% of the outstanding vote, but Liberals won 56% of already counted declaration vote.

Declaration vote seems to be both pre-poll and postal votes, so, it depends of which is counted first and if they lean in different directions.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #5 on: March 22, 2014, 11:13:51 PM »

Reports are indicating than Such (the other independant) took a sick leave, which could last months.

Wierd and suspicious.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #6 on: March 23, 2014, 02:18:31 AM »

Reports are indicating than Such (the other independant) took a sick leave, which could last months.

Wierd and suspicious.

Such is taking a sick leave, he has prostate cancer Sad Hope he gets well.

Ugh. Never good to get cancer, hopefully he will get well.

At least, it's prostate cancer, which has a very good survival rate, unlike many others.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #7 on: March 23, 2014, 02:06:33 PM »

Now that we know the future make-up of the lower house (or the House of Assembly), what were the election results in the upper house, namely the Legislative Council?  

36% for Liberals, 31% for Labor, 13% for Nick Xenophon Team, 6% Green, 4% Family First, 2% United Palmer, 1% Shooters and Fishers.

No seats results yet.
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