Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain] (user search)
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  Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain] (search mode)
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Author Topic: Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]  (Read 503506 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #75 on: October 15, 2008, 01:32:41 PM »

Sam Spade, do you know what states besides New Mexico will be released today ?

I know I'm not Sam Spade but I'll answer anyway. Tongue

5:00 p.m. Eastern:       Kansas President
5:00 p.m. Eastern:       New Mexico President
5:00 p.m. Eastern:       Massachusetts President
5:00 p.m. Eastern:       Illinois President

Ahhh, thx ! Wink

My predictions:

Kansas: McCain 55-42
New Mexico: Obama 51-44
Massachusetts: Obama 59-37
Illinois: Obama 56-41
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #76 on: October 16, 2008, 12:52:18 PM »

Sam or Rowan, what states can we expect today ?

Oregon, Ohio and ... ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #77 on: October 16, 2008, 12:57:59 PM »

3 p.m. Eastern: New York President
5 p.m. Eastern: Ohio President
5 p.m. Eastern: Oregon President
5 p.m. Eastern: Connecticut President

Tongue Why can't they poll AR, ND or WV ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #78 on: October 16, 2008, 02:11:40 PM »

3 p.m. Eastern: New York President
5 p.m. Eastern: Ohio President
5 p.m. Eastern: Oregon President
5 p.m. Eastern: Connecticut President

Tongue Why can't they poll AR, ND or WV ?

Because CT and NY are clear battleground states. DUH.

I guess Obama leads 54-41 in OR, 61-36 in NY, 48-47 in OH and 55-41 in CT.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #79 on: October 17, 2008, 01:21:51 PM »

My predictions for today

Colorado:

Obama - 50
McCain - 46

Nevada:

Obama - 49
McCain - 46
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #80 on: October 19, 2008, 06:56:08 AM »

Sunday - October 19

Obama: 51 (+1)
McCain: 45 (nc)

Favorable Ratings

Obama: 55% favorable, 43% unfavorable (nc, nc)
McCain: 52% favorable, 46% unfavorable (-1, nc)

This is the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the final Presidential debate and shows that the race continues to remain quite stable. Polling data on “Joe the Plumber” will be released later today.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #81 on: October 20, 2008, 01:43:35 PM »

Will be interesting to see how the 5 state polls will look like after the +2/3% sample yesterday.

My guess:

Colorado: Obama 50, McCain 47
Florida: Obama 49, McCain 48
Missouri: Obama 48, McCain 48
North Carolina: McCain 49, Obama 48
Ohio: Obama 49, McCain 48
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #82 on: October 22, 2008, 08:29:18 AM »

Wednesday - October 22

Obama: 51 (+1)
McCain: 45 (-1)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #83 on: October 23, 2008, 01:37:52 PM »

Rowan, do you already know what numbers Rasmussen will show for GA, MN and LA ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #84 on: October 23, 2008, 01:40:43 PM »

Polling games give me creepy S&M vibes

Out with the polls!!!

True. I can't wait until 11pm, when the polls are relased here in Europe ...

So post them at 9pm please.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #85 on: October 23, 2008, 02:05:45 PM »

State polling update usually occurs around 3 PM.

And ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #86 on: October 23, 2008, 02:10:16 PM »


Thx Smiley

I didn't know they were releasing WA as well ... Interesting numbers btw.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #87 on: October 26, 2008, 07:47:41 AM »

Sunday - October 26

Obama: 52 (nc)
McCain: 44 (nc)

Favorable Ratings:

Obama: 57% favorable, 41% unfavorable (+1, -1)
McCain: 50% favorable, 49% unfavorable (-2, +2)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #88 on: October 27, 2008, 01:13:44 PM »

Time for today's predictions:

Colorado:

Obama - 50
McCain - 46

Florida:

McCain - 50
Obama - 48

Missouri:

McCain - 48
Obama - 47

North Carolina:

McCain - 49
Obama - 47

Ohio:

Obama - 48
McCain - 47

Virginia:

Obama - 51
McCain - 46
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #89 on: October 28, 2008, 08:31:12 AM »

Tuesday - October 28:

Obama - 51 (nc)
McCain - 46 (nc)

Later today, new polling data will be released for Arkansas, Mississippi, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #90 on: October 29, 2008, 10:09:16 AM »

Predictions for today's polls:

Alaska: McCain 57, Obama 40
Michigan: Obama 54, McCain 44
Minnesota: Obama 53, McCain 44
New Mexico: Obama 52, McCain 45
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #91 on: October 30, 2008, 08:27:59 AM »

Thursday - October 30:

Obama 51 (+1)
McCain 46 (-1)

Within their own party, both candidates lead by identical 86% to 12% margins while Obama has a six-point advantage among unaffiliated voters.

Obama is now viewed favorably by 56% of voters nationwide, McCain by 54%.

Additional state polling will be released today including the Senate races in Kentucky and North Carolina. Presidential polls will be released for Indiana, Montana and other states.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #92 on: October 30, 2008, 08:32:49 AM »

Rasmussen and R2000/Kos both have Obama up by 5% today. First time I think they've ever showed the same lead.

With the exception that Rasmussen's internals make sense.

According to DailyKos, Obama has 60+ favorable ratings and McCain has net unfavorable ratings.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #93 on: October 31, 2008, 09:13:26 AM »

I think tomorrow the good McCain sample will fall off, right ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #94 on: October 31, 2008, 09:42:11 AM »

BTW, Rasmussen's schedule today:

10:30 a.m. Eastern: 45% Missed All of Obama's 30-Minute Ad
Noon Eastern: 63% Say Obama More Likely to Restrict Gun Rights
Noon Eastern: Georgia Senate
Noon Eastern: New Hampshire Senate
Noon Eastern: Oregon Senate
3 p.m. Eastern: Georgia President
3 p.m. Eastern: New Hampshire President
3 p.m. Eastern: Maine Senate
3 p.m. Eastern: Maine President
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #95 on: November 03, 2008, 09:24:08 AM »

Smiley
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #96 on: November 03, 2008, 09:53:04 AM »

Coming Soon:
 
10:30 a.m. Eastern: One-Third of Obama Voters Plan To Be Out Tomorrow
Noon Eastern: New Jersey President
6 p.m. Eastern: Florida President
6 p.m. Eastern: North Carolina President
6 p.m. Eastern: Missouri President
6 p.m. Eastern: Virginia President
6 p.m. Eastern: Ohio President
6 p.m. Eastern: Colorado President
6 p.m. Eastern: Fox/Rasmussen Swing State Overview
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #97 on: November 20, 2008, 02:30:02 PM »

The Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Index for Thursday shows that 41% Strongly Approve of the way Barack Obama is performing his role as President-elect while 19% Strongly Disapprove for a net rating of +22.

That’s Obama’s highest rating yet, up three points from yesterday and up twelve points since the night after the election.

Overall, 61% of voters somewhat or strongly approve of Obama’s performance so far while 35% disapprove.

By way of comparison, 13% of all voters Strongly Approve of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president. Forty-four percent (44%) Strongly Disapprove. That gives the current President a -31 rating on the Presidential Approval Index.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #98 on: November 21, 2008, 01:15:22 AM »

How is there a "Presidential Approval rating" for Obama when he isn't even President...

I can only suppose it means they approve of how he's handling the transition

I predict that Obama will enjoy about 65-70% approval ratings after being sworn in.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #99 on: December 01, 2008, 09:53:55 AM »

Obama's approval ratings are taking off:

Approve - 64% (41% Strongly Approve) +12 since Election Day
Disapprove - 33% (17% Strongly Disapprove) -11 since Election Day

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history
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