NY-Siena: Romney to win New York
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  NY-Siena: Romney to win New York
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Author Topic: NY-Siena: Romney to win New York  (Read 3812 times)
Nichlemn
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« Reply #25 on: March 09, 2012, 09:01:03 PM »
« edited: March 09, 2012, 09:09:30 PM by Nichlemn »

Can Paul win one of those districts in NYC that have like 5 Republicans in them?

Romney has done very poorly in those districts so far, so it's certainly a possibility. I'm actually curious who the Republicans are in these districts; I always assumed they were affluent minorities that voted based on economic issues, but that's clearly not the case if Romney is losing them to Paul and Santorum.  

Where do people have results by CD? It looks like Romney is winning most of the blue counties, so I figured that he was probably winning the blue districts within those counties, but he could be winning the parts in relatively redder districts.

Edit: Found Michigan by CD, interesting how Romney did much better in MI-14 than MI-13 despite both being majority black Detroit area districts. Might be the suburban parts making the difference?

Also, delegates by CD (and by state to an extent) seems kind of undemocratic by one man one vote standards. There were 5.5x as many votes cast in MI-11 than MI-14, but both gave the same number of delegates.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #26 on: March 09, 2012, 09:43:12 PM »

Well, there's MI-13 as you said, which is 60% black. Then in Virginia Romney won every CD but VA-03, which is a 56% black VRA district, where Paul beat him.

And yeah, it's pretty ridiculous that most GOP states don't weight their CD delegate allocation by Republican vote, as is done in the Democratic primary contests.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #27 on: March 09, 2012, 09:54:25 PM »

You'd think targeting Republicans in ultra-Dem districts would be a cost-effective campaign strategy. Maybe Paul's been doing that to grab delegates while Romney is more concerned with headlines. Weird that Santorum would be doing well when headlines are the biggest priority for him of all the candidates.
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Lincoln Republican
Winfield
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« Reply #28 on: March 10, 2012, 10:36:29 PM »

Start spreadin' the news

Mitt's leadin' the way

I want to be a part of it

New York New York

If Mitt can make it there

He can make it anywhere

Thank you New York, New York, New Yorrrrrrrrrrrrk!

Cheesy
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