Scottish independence referendum results thread (Sept 18, 2014) (user search)
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  Scottish independence referendum results thread (Sept 18, 2014) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Scottish independence referendum results thread (Sept 18, 2014)  (Read 72657 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #25 on: September 18, 2014, 10:48:06 PM »
Lanarkshire only narrows it to 55.02-44.98. Margin of ~165,000.

I'm calling this for No now. Glasgow/Edinburgh is highly unlikely to overturn this.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #26 on: September 18, 2014, 10:50:37 PM »
Widens to 55.33-44.67 now. 20 of 32 regions in.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #27 on: September 18, 2014, 10:53:10 PM »
Quote from: Queen Mum Inks.LWC on September 18, 2014, 10:51:35 PM
Perth and Kinross was a substantial loss for the Yes camp.  The rumor is that Glasgow is coming soon and it is a Yes win.
It's a safe yes area, but the margin just isn't going to be big enough to overcome the rest of Scotland. I'd be very, very surprised if yes somehow catches up.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #28 on: September 18, 2014, 10:54:28 PM »
Almost a 200,000 vote margin now - 55.32-44.68 (1031k to 833k)

without glasgow
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #29 on: September 18, 2014, 10:55:19 PM »
Glasgow only narrows it to 54.34-45.66. That's just pathetic.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #30 on: September 18, 2014, 11:00:35 PM »
Looks like my 53-47 prediction was actually pretty close to accurate, Edinburgh may make it exactly that.

BBC: NO needs 566,613 (more) votes to win.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #31 on: September 18, 2014, 11:01:24 PM »
No: 54.21
Yes: 45.79

NO needs 517,554 votes to win
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #32 on: September 18, 2014, 11:04:21 PM »
Quote from: Ab1234mdusr on September 18, 2014, 11:03:01 PM
The way North and South Lanarkshire voted reminds me of how North and South Carolina voted for President in 2008 when the North went narrowly for Obama and the South marginally for McCain.
SC was McCain +9....In fact it was the 2nd state to be universally called for him, trailing only KY.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #33 on: September 18, 2014, 11:12:32 PM »
No: 54.28
Yes: 45.72

Edinburgh and Fife still out, so this should narrow some more.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #34 on: September 18, 2014, 11:14:55 PM »
Quote from: politicus on September 18, 2014, 11:14:08 PM
Quote from: Wulfric on September 18, 2014, 11:12:32 PM
No: 54.28
Yes: 45.72

Edinburgh and Fife still out, so this should narrow some more.

Those two will widen it.
Edinburgh is Safe yes.....
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #35 on: September 18, 2014, 11:15:55 PM »
Now for some reason the regions in was edited down to 24...
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #36 on: September 18, 2014, 11:19:19 PM »
Quote from: politicus on September 18, 2014, 11:16:07 PM
Quote from: Wulfric on September 18, 2014, 11:14:55 PM
Quote from: politicus on September 18, 2014, 11:14:08 PM
Quote from: Wulfric on September 18, 2014, 11:12:32 PM
No: 54.28
Yes: 45.72

Edinburgh and Fife still out, so this should narrow some more.

Those two will widen it.
Edinburgh is Safe yes.....

What gave you that idea?
A while back, someone (not me) said a big margin in Edinburgh could change things:

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BBC predicts a final margin of No 55-45.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #37 on: September 18, 2014, 11:26:54 PM »
This is odd..why does Guardian have 26 regions in, but BBC only 24? It's like they (BBC) stopped updating the site once they called the race.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #38 on: September 19, 2014, 12:01:23 AM »
With Edinburgh/Aberdeenshire in, the margin is 55.40-44.60.

Still out: Fife, Highland, Moray
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,928
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #39 on: September 19, 2014, 12:10:32 AM »
With Fife in, the margin narrows very marginally to 55.38-44.62
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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*****
Posts: 31,928
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #40 on: September 19, 2014, 12:14:37 AM »
No won Moray


Overall Margin is now 55.42-44.58, with only Highland still out.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,928
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #41 on: September 19, 2014, 12:18:50 AM »
Quote from: politicus on September 19, 2014, 12:17:29 AM
Moray even lower Yes vote (42,4%) than Angus (43,7%). Its interesting that those two are that low.

Only 4 Yes areas out of 32. (Parts of) Greater Glasgow + Dundee.

Orkney best Yes, Dundee best No.
Orkney was best No...
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,928
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #42 on: September 19, 2014, 12:34:32 AM »
Any idea what's keeping Highland from reporting?
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