US House Redistricting: Louisiana

[lfromnj]

Now the question does RIchmond even want his district diluted?

[lfromnj]

Now the question does RIchmond even want his district diluted?

D+25 to lets say D+18 isn't diluting lul. Nobody needs a 60% AA pop seat except perhaps in Mississippi these days, districts with that level of BVAP were  struck down in NC. As long as he can easily survive a primary I assume he will be happy, which probably needs at least say a 10% gap between AA and Whites, which is easily achievable. Whites after all vote between the D and R primaries whereas AA's are solely in the D primary.

Lucy Clay needed a D+25 to be happy, idk about Richmond

[lfromnj]

So no compromise map on the table where the Baton Rouge metro is kept whole for a seat similar to the old Arkansas 2nd.

The 2nd map seems interesting, its LA02 has a much larger portion of EBR. My bet is that its an attempt to peel off 1 or 2 EBR dem legislators to help their own position in a primary.

[lfromnj]

IIRC Scotus has already ruled against OMOV for State supreme court districts. 7 districts is actually pretty nice for Lousiana. 6 is awkard af to deal with.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/MelindaDeslatte/status/1488617615962558465

[lfromnj]

Maybe Louisiana democrats could have used their situation to push for a swing seat similar to Arkansas 2nd instead of just nicely asking for the GOP to gerrymander them a free seat.  They could have perhaps offered unanimous support for said seat in exchange for no lawsuit worries and the like.

[lfromnj]

Again why was this always 2 black districts, or this absurd pack? Why was there no debate about creating a lean to likely R district in the region instead?

[lfromnj]

Isn’t JBE running out of time to veto?

This is interesting… here’s why Edwards hasn’t vetoed the LA map yet. In short, there are weird procedural quirks of the legislative calendar that would cause a lot of procedural hassle if he vetoes now, that can be averted if he waits until Saturday. If he does it before Saturday, the legislature will have to end its session, call a special session in the middle of the regular session to attempt an override, and then resume its regular session, which will affect nothing but piss off a bunch of legislators. https://www.houmatoday.com/story/lifestyle/2022/03/03/when-gov-john-bel-edwards-veto-louisianas-redistricting-maps/9344576002/?utm_campaign=snd-autopilot

Laws about legislative and election scheduling are kinda fascinating to me. There’s so much explicit prescription and proscription with (in general) such low stakes.

R, MD-7.

Quote from Shamlet on rrh

[lfromnj]

The vote was all R's + all 3 indies and Francis Thompson. 2 of the indies are in deep red seats but one of them is actually from a Biden +10 district that is now Biden +8 and is actually fairly liberal. IIRC he voted against the trans sports bill from the beginning and also the abortion bill.