Which group of voters played a bigger role in flipping WI, MI, and PA? (user search)
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  Which group of voters played a bigger role in flipping WI, MI, and PA? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which group of voters played a bigger role in the difference between the 2012 and 2016 results in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania?
#1
Obama 2012 voters who stayed home in 2016
 
#2
Obama-Trump voters
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 86

Author Topic: Which group of voters played a bigger role in flipping WI, MI, and PA?  (Read 2709 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: July 19, 2019, 09:38:18 AM »

Option 2. You'd have to be in complete denial of objectivity to think people staying home had a larger impact than people flipping. In most places, turnout went up or stayed about the same, but where it went down it barely made a difference. People who switched made anywhere from 6-10% of margin difference from 2012 in their states, people staying home made <2% of difference anywhere. And we're not even considering where turnout went up and helped Trump, that seems to be an impossibility to some people.
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