Will the winner get more than 50% in November?
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  Will the winner get more than 50% in November?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Will the winner get more than 50% in November?  (Read 273 times)
President Johnson
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« on: November 18, 2015, 01:54:33 PM »
Regardless of which candidate or party wins, is he or she receiving more than 50% of the votes in the general election? Which contenders have the best chances to exceed the magic number?
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tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2015, 02:00:00 PM »
There is about a 50% that the answer is no. My guess is no. I predict a close election and a small % for all other options (writeins, 3rd parties, and NOTC in NV etc) The total combined for Dem&Rep will be about 97%
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tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2015, 02:03:04 PM »
« Edited: November 18, 2015, 02:06:54 PM by A billion eyes on Obama. »
There is the possibility that a candidate could win more than 50% and lose the e college.
This has only happened once, 1876 and Hayes didn't actually win the e college, it was
decided by a committee, although technically he did win it.

edit: also there could be a tie where Congress picks the popular vote losers (POTUS&VP)
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2015, 02:12:27 PM »
it is 50/50

Obama got 51% and the Dem candidate will get less.
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