The best-case scenario for Republicans in 2018
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  The best-case scenario for Republicans in 2018
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Author Topic: The best-case scenario for Republicans in 2018  (Read 761 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« on: June 10, 2018, 11:51:04 AM »
« edited: June 10, 2018, 12:15:54 PM by MacBeth »

SENATE:


GOVERNOR:


HOUSE: Gain AZ-01, CA-07, FL-07, MN-01, MN-07, MN-08, NV-03, NV-04, NH-01, NJ-05, NY-18, PA-08
Lose FL-27, NJ-02, PA-05, PA-06
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cvparty
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« Reply #1 on: June 10, 2018, 12:07:02 PM »

2020?
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #2 on: June 10, 2018, 01:29:33 PM »

Good God no. What a brain-dead post.
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #3 on: June 10, 2018, 01:48:50 PM »

I think Kyrsten Sinema is winning even in a top 1% outcome for the republicans, and at this point Sherrod Brown is pretty much unstoppable.
And there's no way the GOP will have a net gain of seats. Otherwise, this seems pretty accurate for a best-case scenario for the republicans.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: June 10, 2018, 02:38:58 PM »

The gubernatorial map looks alright, but in the Senate map, New Jersey and Nevada Montana should be flipped.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: June 10, 2018, 02:40:09 PM »

I think Kyrsten Sinema is winning even in a top 1% outcome for the republicans, and at this point Sherrod Brown is pretty much unstoppable.
And there's no way the GOP will have a net gain of seats. Otherwise, this seems pretty accurate for a best-case scenario for the republicans.
Yeah Ohio was pretty much on the fence, but I say Brown has about a 4% chance of losing.
And in the House, Repubs would probably still lose AZ-02 and PA-17 and wouldn't gain NV-04.
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Orser67
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: June 10, 2018, 03:00:10 PM »

The Senate and gubernatorial maps look fine (except NJ-Sen imo), but even in the best case scenario  I think Republicans are going to suffer a net loss in the House. Even if Trump's approvals climb to 50% for whatever reasons, don't think Republicans are going to be able to defend enough open seats and knock out enough Democratic incumbents to make net gains.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: June 11, 2018, 12:46:46 AM »

Lose 5 Governorships
Hold the Dems to 205-210
Hold Democrats to 47-50 seats








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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #8 on: June 11, 2018, 02:07:01 AM »

Senate: Gains in IN, MO, FL and ND; no Dem pick-ups. (WV, MT and OH won't flip). Senate 54-46 R

House: Dems only gain 10 seats (net). House 231 - 204 R

Governorships: Dems pick up NM, ME and IL. GOP gains AK, RI and CT

However, neither scenario is likely.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: June 11, 2018, 04:16:56 AM »

Minority status in House and Senate and GOP winning AK gubernatorial election is possible, as of now. Where it was impossible, before.
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