FiveThirtyEight Demographic Calculator Revisited: Can you make Trump win? (user search)
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  FiveThirtyEight Demographic Calculator Revisited: Can you make Trump win? (search mode)
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Author Topic: FiveThirtyEight Demographic Calculator Revisited: Can you make Trump win?  (Read 7562 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: May 07, 2016, 09:32:46 PM »
« edited: May 07, 2016, 09:34:36 PM by Maxwell »

Find out if you can make Trump win with this nifty gadget!!!

Here is my results:


My Demographics
College-Educated Whites: 52% Trump, 70% Turnout
Non-College-Educated Whites: 66% Trump, 61% Turnout
Blacks: 91% Clinton, 72% Turnout
Hispanic: 79% Clinton, 63% Turnout
Asians/Other: 75% Clinton, 53% Turnout



S.O.S. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) - 53.6%, 347 EV's

Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY) - 44.7%, 191 EV's
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2016, 09:54:05 PM »


Eh - I think the distinction between College/Non-college Whites is very important.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2016, 10:13:15 PM »

I'm amazed you made Mississippi flip.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #3 on: May 07, 2016, 11:26:20 PM »

I don't think Hispanic turnout is going to drop 8%.

But I appreciate muon2 putting together a potential Trump win.
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