SteveRogers
duncan298
YaBB God
Posts: 4,198
Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -5.04
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« on: July 05, 2014, 05:32:14 PM » |
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Duverger's law was never intended to describe primaries. Duverger's law is a prediction about the party system that will result from a set of electoral rules, not necessarily a prediction about the number of candidates that will appear on an individual ballot. What matters is the output of the elections in the various districts in the aggregate.
A partisan primary will always yield only one nominee regardless of how many candidates compete and regardless of whether the winner needs a plurality or a majority. There is no aggregate outcome to consider. Additionally, the underlying psychological effects that discourage minor parties from running candidates in SMD plurality elections don't really apply to weak primary candidates.
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