How plausible is this map for 2040?

[AGA]

Is this a realistic pre-election map in the year 2040?

[AGA]

South Carolina would be a toss-up; I think Alaska will still lean Republican.

It does seem strange too see South Carolina so much more Republican than Georgia, but whites are actually growing faster than other demographics in the state, so I do not know why it would trend Republican.

[AGA]

I think Alaska will go into D-leaner status much before 2040.

Why does everyone say this...?

Mostly because its been trending Democratic in recent elections, but I still think the idea that the possible Democratic trend there is a little overblown.