Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[Maxwell]

Team Gomez all the way tho. Solidly progressive, not a true leftist ala carrillo and (lol) carmona.

Not really sure what Campoverdi stands for other than generic platitudes.

[Maxwell]

Republicans are not much of a factor in this district, so talking about them is pointless.

lol at Campoverdi doing way worse than even the Sexual Harasser, the True Leftist, the Green Party candidate, and the Republican.

[Maxwell]

I think the KS-04 result is going to be very interesting.

I mean Ron Estes is actually having to run ads against James Thompson, which is pretty bad in and of itself considering this is an R+14 district.

[Maxwell]

Mulvaney always won that district with underwhelming margins but that may just be because its Mick Mulvaney rather than the district being particularly competitive.

[Maxwell]

Kander did better than the much more conservative/moderate Chris Koster, and did so against an incumbent. Sounds to me like running as a moderate isn't everything.

[Maxwell]

Going to go ahead and say Estes only wins by 5 or 6.

[Maxwell]

I'd be careful about reading too much into the results here. Don't be too quick to assume that Democrats are headed for massive victories over the next two years if Thompson overperforms here. It's too soon to make that conclusion.

True - Estes has been a disastrous candidate, possibly worse even than any of the GOPers running in Georgia's 6th.

[Maxwell]

if Democrats felt like being DIRTY TRICKSTERS, they would do a fake robocall with someone who does a mean Sam Brownback impression, with Fake Brownback giving an endorsement to Estes. That would be  Tricky Dick Tricky

[Maxwell]

It's still genuinely shocking they had to defend this district at all.

[Maxwell]

Thompson still has a substantial lead in Sedgwick. It's only over if that county narrows substantially.

But the election day vote from Sedgwick that is in so far is a totally different story than the early vote.

Is Estes actually winning election day Sedgwick voters?

a lot of credit has to go to James Thompson for running a fantastic campaign.

[Maxwell]

Thompson almost certainly should run again in the real election in 2018.

[Maxwell]

Sedgwick seems like a pretty good barometer for how someone is going to do statewide - Trump won it by 20 and then won the state by 20. Brownback edged Davis by 2 in Sedgwick and won the state by 3. Thompson looks to be winning it by 5-7 once the numbers finally get down to it.

[Maxwell]

ew last batch was rough.

[Maxwell]

eh what can ya do. R+15

[Maxwell]

What an embarrassing result for Republicans.

Spin, spin, spin.... LOL!

what spin? this is a district Trump won by nearly 30.

wow you guys averted complete disaster in a district you had no business losing. great job.

[Maxwell]

Think of it this way - this is like if Republicans gave Democrats a run for their money in Maryland's 8th district, currently represented by Flawless Beautiful Curly Haired Jaime Raskin.

[Maxwell]

Democrats poured MILLIONS into this seat. MILLIONS.

Republicans didn't.

Estes sleepwalked through the campaign.

"Estes was a particularly weak candidate. As a member of Gov. Sam Brownback’s administration, he scored a 2 of 10 score on candidate strength."

now you're just lying. you're confusing this with GA-06.

[Maxwell]

Before 2016 SC-05 would have been Dem best pick opportunity up but muh suburban GA-6 is so glamorous.

Meh, SC-5 does not allow much room for error - low ceiling for dems.

[Maxwell]

Tommy Pope currently leads in the polls (but only at 19%), with Norman, Few, and Mulliken all at around 8-10%. Since I don't know anything else, I'd say Pope is the favorite.

[Maxwell]

Considering Parnell's margin, it didn't seem like the Dem primary was all that contested, meanwhile the GOP primary is very very contested.

[Maxwell]

Both of the top tier GOP candidates were fairly competent and might even be categorized as better than the incumbent who left (Mick Mulvaney, who was an austerity nut who won the district by very underwhelming margins). Archie Parnell strikes me as the right kind of Dem for this district, but I doubt he'll make it.

[Maxwell]

yeah that sounds about right.

[Maxwell]

ahahahahahahahahahahaha

MY BOY ROY BOUT TO DO IT

Luther Strange deserves this 100%.

[Maxwell]

It probably didn't help Strange that Trump god damn humiliated him the day before the election. Or his poor debate performance. or how he got the Senate seat in the first place.

But to be fair, Roy Moore is a juggernaut in a way that Strange wasn't going to be able to compete with. He was the fringe before the fringe was cool. Now fringe is hip and Moore is a super star to his people. Moore's ratings are very favorable among a certain segment of the GOP - and that segment is growing.

[Maxwell]

Debbie Leslol