5% economy growth. Is it a great success or an issue for concern? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 20, 2024, 09:52:02 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Economics (Moderator: Torie)
  5% economy growth. Is it a great success or an issue for concern? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 5% economy growth. Is it a great success or an issue for concern?  (Read 3196 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,192
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: January 07, 2015, 04:08:05 AM »

The US economy did not grow at a 5% clip in Q3, nor will it grow anywhere close to 5% for the whole year 2014.

That's just the misleading "annualized" calculation method that the American BEA uses.

The internationally comparable methods are "quarter on quarter" growth and "year on year" growth, which means Q3, 2014 compared with Q2, 2014 and Q3, 2014 vs. Q3, 2013.

The actual numbers are:

Q3 2014 vs. Q3 2013: +2.7%

The BEA actually publishes this here (Table 8]:

http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/2014/txt/gdp3q14_3rd.txt

Q1 2014 was +1.9% and Q2 was +2.6%

If the 4th quarter is also ca. +2.7%, then the overall US growth rate for 2014 should come in at ca. 2.4-2.6%, which is up from 2.2% in 2013 (see Table 7).

...

The BEA actually does not publish Q/Q growth rates like most other countries in the world, but it amounted to ca. 1.2-1.3% growth vs. Q2, 2014.

That is still much better than most Eurozone countries, but the UK had a higher growth rate for 2014 than the US (ca. 3%).
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 10 queries.