Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog

[Miles]

Bill Nungesser (R-Plaquemines), one of the more, uh....outspoken...figures in LA politics is confirming a second run for the imminently-open LG.

He lost 53-47 to Dardenne in 2011.

Back in 2011, Nungesser very much became the face of local frustration with the BP oil spill.

[Miles]

In a victory for Jindal, the DOJ has dropped its lawsuit against his voucher program.

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[Miles]

The SMOR poll out today gives Vitter an early edge:

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Jindal remains unpopular, with 42/55 approvals.

[smoltchanov]

The SMOR poll out today gives Vitter an early edge:

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Jindal remains unpopular, with 42/55 approvals.

So, it's "the best of the worst situation"?

[Maxwell]

The SMOR poll out today gives Vitter an early edge:

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Jindal remains unpopular, with 42/55 approvals.

That seems on the up for Jindal.

[Miles]

Well, we'll have a better idea for this race next month:

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[windjammer]

After Jindal: David Vitter,...
Time to run a conservative democrat (picture of Miles)

[RogueBeaver]

Vitter is running. Question is whether Mitch Landrieu does. How does his Senate seat get handled under the LA Constitution?

[Miles]

If Vitter wins, it would probably be barely under a year between taking the Governorship and the expiration of his Senate term:

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[RogueBeaver]

So would the appointee be allowed to run or not? Or would he appoint a placeholder to encourage a competitive Pub primary? Wonder who that would be. Scalise passed this year.

[Miles]

Yeah. Whoever he appoints could run in the regular Class III election.

[Miles]

'In case there's anymore doubt Vitter will run for Governor:

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And this lovely tidbit follows:

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[windjammer]

News about Mitch Landrieu?

[Miles]

News about Mitch Landrieu?

Eh, he'll likely need to get through reelection in the spring before he says anything.

[Miles]

'Kinda sneaky, but the LADP took a page out of the TXGOP's book and preemptively bought the VitterforGovernor.com website name.

[DINGO Joe]

'Kinda sneaky, but the LADP took a page out of the TXGOP's book and preemptively bought the VitterforGovernor.com website name.

I'm disappointed, I figured there would be hooker ads on there.

[smoltchanov]

My personal position - ABV (Anybody, But Vitter). Dardenne, Landrieu are more or less fine with me, but not Vitter, Even David Duke (who was one of his opponents in his first congressional race) is more honest. Treen (another opponent from that race) - was MUCH better, though we are very different politically. And would not for former Democratic state Representative Strain (another opponent from that particular race) Vitter wouldn't be even Congressman, much less - a Senator now.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Vitter being governor would later result in positioning a run for the White House down the road because he can't control his political ego and it's addictive.

He's the Chad Harris-Crane (see NBC's Passions) of Louisiana politics.

[Miles]

Guillory is running for LG.

I hope he doesn't make the runoff. Nungesser is at least genuine and more likeable, IMO. Guillory vs. Holden would be an interesting race though.

At the very least, his Senate seat will flip back; its 60%-ish Obama, IIRC.

[smoltchanov]

Guillory is running for LG.

I hope he doesn't make the runoff. Nungesser is at least genuine and more likeable, IMO. Guillory vs. Holden would be an interesting race though.

At the very least, his Senate seat will flip back; its 60%-ish Obama, IIRC.

Which type of Democrat will it be? Economically liberal and more conservative socially?

[Miles]

Which type of Democrat will it be? Economically liberal and more conservative socially?

Well, outside of New Orleans, being socially conservative is almost a given .

This seat is in the middle of Acadiana, so that will almost definitely be the case.

[smoltchanov]

Which type of Democrat will it be? Economically liberal and more conservative socially?

Well, outside of New Orleans, being socially conservative is almost a given .

This seat is in the middle of Acadiana, so that will almost definitely be the case.

And 60% for Obama and black majority suggest economic liberalism, or, at least, populism)))

[Miles]

The firm Wilson Perkins Allen is out with a kitchen sink poll of the 2015 primary:

Vitter (R)- 25%
Landrieu (D)- 20%
Dardenne (R)- 12%
Kennedy (R)- 9%
Alexander (R)- 4%
Campbell (D)- 2%
Edwards (D)- 2%
Georges (D)- 2%
Bernhard (D)- 1%
Long (R)- 1%
Normand (R)- 1%

Vitter leads Dardenne 40-36 in a runoff.

[RogueBeaver]

What are the chances Landrieu runs? Either way Vitter is well-positioned for the first Pub-to-Pub Mansion handoff since Reconstruction.

[Miles]

What are the chances Landrieu runs? Either way Vitter is well-positioned for the first Pub-to-Pub Mansion handoff since Reconstruction.

He's been very quiet. Ugh, don't remind me of that