Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog

[Miles]

Wow, no kidding. I didn't know that about Nungesser.

[DINGO Joe]

Wow, no kidding. I didn't know that about Nungesser.

http://thelensnola.org/2011/09/22/nungesser-vs-dardenne/

[Miles]

Confirming the rumors, Landry is running for AG.

[Miles]

[Miles]

Wealthy businessman and owner of The Advocate John Georges isn't shutting the door on a run. Georges ran in 2007 when the seat was open. Though he also ran as an Independent he carried Orleans Parish; he ran for mayor in 2010 as a Democrat but lost to Mitch Landrieu.

If Landrieu passes, I think Georges could be a mild upgrade from JBE. Still, Georges is a fiscally moderate, socially conservative Democrat who has the potential to hurt Dardenne more.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Will he make the runoff ?

[Miles]

That died down quick. Georges says he's not running.

[TX Conservative Dem]

This means JBE is running as the only Democrat huh.

[Miles]

Perhaps working towards the end of rehabilitating his numbers, Jindal won't be doing much heavy lifting this session. The LA legislature session opened today; Jindal's agenda strays away from the more controversial items that have defined the past few sessions.

[Miles]

Buddy Caldwell gets a victory as a judge has sided with him in a high-profile levee authority case.

[Miles]

Senate Pro Temp Sharon Weston Broome stopped by my LA Gov. class today.

She's expected to be running for Baton Rouge mayor; in her words, she's "very seriously" looking at it. Should be another good race to watch and I'll probably support her.

[TX Conservative Dem]

I wish her the best of luck in campaigning for Baton Rouge Mayor in 2017 since Holden's 3rd term ends by then.

Any word on Holden's political plans for the future ?

[Miles]

Any word on Holden's political plans for the future ?

Yes.

[Miles]

We have a new poll from the firm Voter Consumer Research. They polled the primary, but no runoffs.

Landrieu- 33%
Vitter- 25%
Dardenne- 11%
Kennedy- 9%
JBE- 9%

[LeBron]

So if Vitter wins, wouldn't that still make it nearly impossible for Dems to pick up this seat? Because it would mean Vitter's seat would be vacated as he assumes the Governorship and will set the special election for the seat on some odd day which will result in will be low turnout in the New Orleans and Baton Rouge areas giving the LA Republican who would run for the seat an even greater advantage. And assuming that Republican (maybe Dardenne) ran for re-election to the seat in 2016, that would destroy any chance at the seat even if Landrieu ran.

That poll really doesn't bode well for Landrieu in the Governor's race, either. That's a 45-42 advantage right there if you add all the Republican percentages and the Democratic percentages, so in this scenario if the Republican is closer to breaking 50% than Landrieu in the primary, then I'm afraid to see what the runoff would look like between the two.

And dang! That's awesome if your college managed to get a top state Democrat to come speak to you guys. Up in Ohio, we would consider it a rare honor if State Senator Nina Turner, a graduate from here, came to talk to us. lol.

[smoltchanov]

Well, the run-off will have even worse turnout, so - Republican chances will only increase...

[Sol]

Wealthy businessman and owner of The Advocate John Georges isn't shutting the door on a run. Georges ran in 2007 when the seat was open. Though he also ran as an Independent he carried Orleans Parish; he ran for mayor in 2010 as a Democrat but lost to Mitch Landrieu.

If Landrieu passes, I think Georges could be a mild upgrade from JBE. Still, Georges is a fiscally moderate, socially conservative Democrat who has the potential to hurt Dardenne more.

I suspect any owner of The Advocate would have some trouble winning in LA.

( )

[Miles]

I suspect any owner of The Advocate would have some trouble winning in LA.

( )

Thats actually a different website. The Advocate is the daily paper in the Baton Rouge area.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Mitch is gonna have to bail his big sister out in her reelection campaign for a 4th term in the Senate.

[Joshgreen]

Mitch is gonna have to bail his big sister out in her reelection campaign for a 4th term in the Senate.

We already knew this. She needs to post presidential numbers in Orleans.

[IceSpear]

Well if Louisiana likes Diaper Dave so much, I'd prefer they keep him to themselves in the governor's mansion as opposed to inflicting him upon the rest of the nation in the Senate.

(Sorry Miles )

[Sol]

I suspect any owner of The Advocate would have some trouble winning in LA.

( )

Thats actually a different website. The Advocate is the daily paper in the Baton Rouge area.

Hence the smiley.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Are the judicial statewide offices of the Louisiana Supreme Court, are some of their offices on the statewide ballot in 2015 ?

[Miles]

In what should be an easy pickup in the State Senate, Rep. Ledricka Thierry (D) is running for the seat that Guillory is vacating.

[smoltchanov]

In what should be an easy pickup in the State Senate, Rep. Ledricka Thierry (D) is running for the seat that Guillory is vacating.

Economic populist, social conservative, as typical for districts in this area?