Trump +28 in Utah

[Matty]

https://twitter.com/NoblePredictive/status/1786140357815644593

[2016]

That would be pretty stunning if Trump wins Utah by 30 Points in a State with a high mormon concentration.

[Sir Mohamed]

That would be pretty stunning if Trump wins Utah by 30 Points in a State with a high mormon concentration.

It seems like the GOP base in UT has somewhat shifted on Trump and MAGA over the last few years. I'm sure that also played a role for Romney's decision to not seek reelection. Because usually he should have no trouble getting renominated at all.

[KakyoinMemeHouse]

That would be pretty stunning if Trump wins Utah by 30 Points in a State with a high mormon concentration.

It seems like the GOP base in UT has somewhat shifted on Trump and MAGA over the last few years. I'm sure that also played a role for Romney's decision to not seek reelection. Because usually he should have no trouble getting renominated at all.

I disagree given how impressive Haley's performance was in the primary.

[Agafin]

Utah and Alaska are the only two states where I expect a measurable swing to Biden so this would be pretty bad for him (Biden).

[Skill and Chance]

Not surprised.  Utah (and maybe Texas) seemed like ground zero in 2016 for people voting against Trump because they thought he wasn't socially conservative enough and/or was secretly pro-choice.  That obviously isn't a concern now.  Utah was also on the COVID hawk side for conservative states, and that isn't an issue anymore either. 

[Schiff for Senate]

That would be pretty stunning if Trump wins Utah by 30 Points in a State with a high mormon concentration.

It seems like the GOP base in UT has somewhat shifted on Trump and MAGA over the last few years. I'm sure that also played a role for Romney's decision to not seek reelection. Because usually he should have no trouble getting renominated at all.

Iirc UT has a weird convention style nominating system that may overrepresent the MAGA crowd.

It's tough to say whether Romney would've been renominated had he run...if I were him, I'd have retired on my own terms, too, rather than run the risk of ending my career with a disgraceful loss. Anyways he's like 75, so there's a small possibility he retired for personal rather than political reasons in the first place.