Looks like PA was the tipping point state

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

:/

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Romney dumped money in here at the last minute, and the Obama campaign failed to respond in kind. Probably a good decision on their part; otherwise Romney would have used those ads in actual swing states. The fact that PA voted for Obama by 5 points when he had almost nothing but the ground game on his side gives me hope.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Interesting stuff, thanks for your insights. What's the story with Dauphin County btw? Voted for Bush by 9 and now for Obama by around 6. Similar story in Monroe County which voted for Bush twice but was won by Obama by around 13 points. Just a better get out the vote effort by the Democrats?

Dauphin has a state capital (Harrisburg) where Obama got high turnout; there's also a lot of influx from Philly in Central PA. Monroe, IIRC, attracts a lot of retirees from New York.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

It wouldn't have been the tipping pont state if Obama actually campaigned there at all. It's a fluke that it was PA and not CO.

The tipping point was in fact Colorado.