Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor

[ElectionsGuy]

Edwards: 53%
Vitter: 47%

For Lt Gov:

Nungesser: 57%
Holden: 43%

[ElectionsGuy]

Locking
10:48 EST: Unlocked

[ElectionsGuy]

Vitter: 53%
Edwards:47%

I'm extremely pessimistic after Kentucky.

Vitter wins by 5 points.

Vitter 55
Edwards 45

D:

Vitter wins by 5 points.

This. +/- 2 points either way.

52 Vitter
48 Edwards

Vitter wins by 5 points.

I want JBE to win but I'd still be surprised if the result is anything but this.

I'm gonna buy low and predict a Vitter win, but it'll be close either way.

53% - Vitter
47% - Edwards

I have no faith in the people of Louisiana

50.5 Vitter
49.5 Edwards

52.7 Vitter
47.3 Edwards

Vitter wins 54%-46% because only Republicans can win after being behind in the polls.

51% David Vitter
49% John Bel Edwards

Republicans and conservatives come home at the last minute, in the wake of the Syrian refugee situation, and refuse to install a Democrat in the governor's mansion.

Vitter 51%
Edwards 49%

Vitter 53-47
Nungesser 57-43
Landry 56-44

My final projection.

Vitter shall be victorious!!!

Vitter - 50.1%
Edwards - 49.9%

Recount ensues.

Vitter: 52%
Edwards: 48%

I suppose we can call this the Kentucky effect? A vast overreaction based on the wrongness of poll for one race greatly disillusions people to think the same will happen in another, even when Edwards was above 50% in the vast majority of them. This is amazing.

[ElectionsGuy]

Congrats to Kingpolean, Oldies, Tender Branson, dingojoe, Maxwell (first prediction), and whoever else was between 55 and 57% Edwards for being the most accurate.

[ElectionsGuy]

Congrats to Kingpolean, Oldies, Tender Branson, dingojoe, Maxwell (first prediction), and whoever else was between 55 and 57% Edwards for being the most accurate.

I will accept my accolades.

You also revised your prediction later to a closer race, though