NC-02: Aiken wins primary (under usual reserve)

[⛄]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2014/05/07/clay-aiken-leads-but-n-c-primary-too-close-to-call-ap-says/

[NewYorkExpress]

No... Democrats already weren't going to win this district, the certainly weren't going to do it with a gay former American Idol contestant.

[Maxwell]

joke candidate is joke

[SWE]

Why did someone vote yes?

[LeBron]

Maybe if Aiken ran in 2016 he could have won with enough black turnout from the district and the fact that voter registration has a majority of Democrats there (including plenty who are probably moderates and centrists like Aiken), but not in 2014. Disgruntled Crisco voters I would imagine will just stay at home and there will be a lot more dropoff vote, so I think it's nearly impossible for Aiken to beat Ellmers, but I'd still call it likely R given how weak of an incumbent she is and the risk of possibly making a bunch of homophobic slurs during the campaign towards Aiken that could backfire on her.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

lel

[Hifly]

Why did someone vote yes?

Bandit the Worker.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Maybe if Aiken ran in 2016 he could have won with enough black turnout from the district and the fact that voter registration has a majority of Democrats there (including plenty who are probably moderates and centrists like Aiken), but not in 2014. Disgruntled Crisco voters I would imagine will just stay at home and there will be a lot more dropoff vote, so I think it's nearly impossible for Aiken to beat Ellmers, but I'd still call it likely R given how weak of an incumbent she is and the risk of possibly making a bunch of homophobic slurs during the campaign towards Aiken that could backfire on her.

Dude, Crisco was an infinitely stronger candidate and he still would've lost.  Ellmers will either go the way of John Sullivan (get beaten in the primay by a some dude type) or stick around until at least the next redistricting.

[⛄]

Why did someone vote yes?

Maybe he has an account here...

[Nichlemn]

Read it as "Akin" initially, very confused.

[Nhoj]

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/clay-aikens-opponent-keith-crisco-passes/story?id=23686583

[badgate]

Wow.


Out of curiosity, anybody know what would happen if Crisco had won the primary?
edit: Here

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

It is not somethine one expects in this era, as it is far more rare than back in the day when healthcare was weaker and fewer millionaires formed the class of Congresspeople.

There were numerous cases in 1931 where newly elected members passed before the new Congress took office and thus allowed Democrats to take over by the time they were seated even though a narrow GOP majority had been elected in 1930.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Heck No ! The dude couldn't win American Idol back in 2003.

[nclib]

Very sad.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Does this mean they could choose Aiken?

[badgate]

Very sad.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Does this mean they could choose Aiken?

Yes, but Aiken actually did win so it is moot.

[nclib]

Very sad.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Does this mean they could choose Aiken?

Yes, but Aiken actually did win so it is moot.

I know. I was talking hypothetically.