Bayh 339
Generic Pub 170
Not Sure 29
MO, WV, and VA are "not sures" because I'm not sure how Bayh would play in those states.
Alcon, i have serious doubts about South Dakota....
my map: Very close. Unless Bayh gets a running mate who is either Hispanic or can appeal to them, he probably won't do that well in the Southwest or Florida. I also doubt that he'll get Missouri, and I think West Virginia and Virginia won't be easy. However, if Bayh is as strong in the Midwest as many people think he is, he still has a good shot - Ohio is almost as tasty as Florida.
Kerry won South Dakota with 58% of the vote. What in the world are you talking about?