IA-01: Blum up by 12

[Heisenberg]

I know this is a House race and not a Senate race, but there was no other place to put this.  I found a new poll that shows Blum up by 12 against both of his potential challengers, with a margin of error of 5 points.  Lots of undecideds, though.
http://qctimes.com/news/local/government-and-politics/elections/blum-poll-shows-him-with-double-digit-lead-in-iowa/article_065eb32b-d88d-53e5-974f-ae7e127d7c51.html

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;-;

[Miles]

About as useless as the last DCCC poll with Schneider beating Dold 37/29.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Senate races break in Aug. House races break in Oct, and always lag behind.

[Maxwell]

I hate to be the Democrat concern troll here, but Blum ran a strong campaign in 2014 (unlike his fellow 2014 counterpart David Young, whose election was entirely thanks to the wave because his campaign was horrifying) and can easily do so again. This is a district that would probably give Blum the win against a weak Democrat.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems aren't worrying about House majority just yet and Blum will be defeated because Iowa is a tipping point state.

[PAK Man]

Aren't House polls really unreliable generally? And given the high amount of undecideds, plus the fact Obama got 56% of the vote here, I highly doubt this will remain.

[136or142]

He's under 50% and the poll was conducted by a Republican pollster.

[Heisenberg]

Aren't House polls really unreliable generally? And given the high amount of undecideds, plus the fact Obama got 56% of the vote here, I highly doubt this will remain.

Of course they're unreliable this early.  I just wanted to throw this out there since this is a swing district.

[Xing]

It's early, we'll see what happens when the GE starts, and the Democrats start really competing for IA's 6 electoral votes.

[Rooney]

I would not buy this poll for a dollar.