British Local Elections, May 2024
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Author Topic: British Local Elections, May 2024  (Read 14504 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #550 on: May 04, 2024, 12:23:05 PM »

Street's lead in Dudley drops from c. 29k to c.12k.
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CumbrianLefty
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« Reply #551 on: May 04, 2024, 12:23:40 PM »

Galloway was apparently briefing that he "fancied" standing in Angela Rayner's seat next time - but as with most of his claims, extreme scepticism should be the default position.
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Torrain
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« Reply #552 on: May 04, 2024, 12:51:43 PM »
« Edited: May 04, 2024, 12:56:45 PM by Torrain »

This is where the raw vote totals would be more useful...  
Ask and ye shall receive - via https://www.wmcaelects.co.uk/results/

Birmingham
Parker: 80,251
Street: 66,296

Dudley
Parker: 24,807
Street: 37,345

Solihull
Parker: 11,728
Street: 35,289

Walsall
Parker: 18,097
Street: 24,735

Wolverhampton
Parker: 26,442
Street: 18,582

Just Coventry and Sandwell to go...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #553 on: May 04, 2024, 01:13:48 PM »

This is clearly extremely tight. The basic problem for Street is that a) Sandwell is Sandwell and that b) Coventry Labour did very well in the City Council elections.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #554 on: May 04, 2024, 01:21:03 PM »

Coventry:

32,704 Parker

23,237 Street

Reminder the Default going to this delay was Labour by a few thousand overall.
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TheTide
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« Reply #555 on: May 04, 2024, 01:23:56 PM »

I'm thinking that the Coventry recount took place because the vote counting process began and was completed there later than in the other boroughs and a hundred or two vote difference might swing the overall outcome one way or t'other.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #556 on: May 04, 2024, 01:27:35 PM »

Byrne's lead in Coventry last time around was about a thousand votes.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #557 on: May 04, 2024, 01:31:48 PM »

So, where does this leave us? With only Sandwell left, Street's lead is down to 11,455 votes. Last time around, Liam Byrne led on first preferences in Sandwell by 5,171 votes. If (and we don't know until we get the numbers) the patterns seen in the other Black Country boroughs and also Coventry are repeated in Sandwell, then Street has lost.
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TheTide
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« Reply #558 on: May 04, 2024, 01:40:20 PM »


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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #559 on: May 04, 2024, 01:44:42 PM »

Liam... those... clothes... my goodness... what on...
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bore
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« Reply #560 on: May 04, 2024, 01:51:59 PM »

Liam... those... clothes... my goodness... what on...

I'm afraid there are no decent clothes left
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #561 on: May 04, 2024, 01:56:19 PM »

Liam... those... clothes... my goodness... what on...

I'm afraid there are no decent clothes left

Can a chap reasonably eat his piping hot bowl of soup whilst wearing such pale colours?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #562 on: May 04, 2024, 01:57:31 PM »

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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #563 on: May 04, 2024, 01:58:22 PM »

It took 2.5 more hours, but the result we heard about earlier appears to have been confirmed by the parties.
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CumbrianLefty
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« Reply #564 on: May 04, 2024, 02:06:46 PM »

New rumour is that the Tories asked for a full recount in Sandwell as well, but were turned down.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #565 on: May 04, 2024, 02:24:44 PM »

Some are saying now that the Tories are going to roll out the carpet for Street in Solihull (Solihull West after boundary changes) if he wants it. Which would likely put him in a strong position as one of the few MPs with experience  and ready for a shadow role, since the losses will leave them with many freshmen and long-serving backbenchers. The only issue with this is if the Badenochs and JRMs of the party become champions over the parties rubble, which they might, since they could have a higher proportion of remaining MPs.
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« Reply #566 on: May 04, 2024, 02:27:48 PM »

Kudos to tories, London and West Midlands combined have got to be the worst election night messaging in political history. The epitome of wanting a quick sugar high from some positive buzz on twitter that immediately leaves you hungover.
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Blair
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« Reply #567 on: May 04, 2024, 02:48:21 PM »

Liam... those... clothes... my goodness... what on...

I'm afraid there are no decent clothes left

Can a chap reasonably eat his piping hot bowl of soup whilst wearing such pale colours?

If I find a mistake I will blame you.
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skbl17
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« Reply #568 on: May 04, 2024, 02:51:46 PM »

Sandwell results (per https://www.wmcaelects.co.uk/results):

- Parker (LAB): 31,561
- Street (CON): 18,598
- Harper-Nunes (GRN): 2,722
- Virk (LD): 1,201
- Williams (REF): 4,347
- Yakoob (Ind): 7,026

Parker by 12,963.
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Harlow
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« Reply #569 on: May 04, 2024, 02:52:32 PM »

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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #570 on: May 04, 2024, 02:52:32 PM »

Total Margin after Sandwell is 1.5K for Labour.
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Blair
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« Reply #571 on: May 04, 2024, 02:55:43 PM »

Some are saying now that the Tories are going to roll out the carpet for Street in Solihull (Solihull West after boundary changes) if he wants it. Which would likely put him in a strong position as one of the few MPs with experience  and ready for a shadow role, since the losses will leave them with many freshmen and long-serving backbenchers. The only issue with this is if the Badenochs and JRMs of the party become champions over the parties rubble, which they might, since they could have a higher proportion of remaining MPs.

The whole saga has been mad! They very nearly caused him to leave after cancelling HS2- a policy driven laregly by chronic treasury brain & frankly spreadsheet Rishi & his Transport sec hating trains. Boris had his flaws but on transport he did actually get it...

And for Street the sensible thing I would have done is not run for re-election! He could have expected a seat in the Lords, or as you suggest a safe seat- if he wanted one. Some people do not want to go near the commons, and he has the profile you'd expect of someone who doesn't want to be doing immigration casework and adjournment debates
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #572 on: May 04, 2024, 02:57:47 PM »

Some are saying now that the Tories are going to roll out the carpet for Street in Solihull (Solihull West after boundary changes) if he wants it. Which would likely put him in a strong position as one of the few MPs with experience  and ready for a shadow role, since the losses will leave them with many freshmen and long-serving backbenchers. The only issue with this is if the Badenochs and JRMs of the party become champions over the parties rubble, which they might, since they could have a higher proportion of remaining MPs.

The whole saga has been mad! They very nearly caused him to leave after cancelling HS2- a policy driven laregly by chronic treasury brain & frankly spreadsheet Rishi & his Transport sec hating trains. Boris had his flaws but on transport he did actually get it...

And for Street the sensible thing I would have done is not run for re-election! He could have expected a seat in the Lords, or as you suggest a safe seat- if he wanted one. Some people do not want to go near the commons, and he has the profile you'd expect of someone who doesn't want to be doing immigration casework and adjournment debates

Yeah he seems like the person who would prefer to walk away, but at the same time not walk away if the party will choose to piss on his legacy.
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Flyersfan232
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« Reply #573 on: May 04, 2024, 03:24:50 PM »


are the york party like the snp?
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Torrain
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #574 on: May 04, 2024, 03:32:30 PM »
« Edited: May 04, 2024, 03:40:32 PM by Torrain »


Nah - they’re pro-devolution and a bit localist, rather than being full-blown separatists.

Less campervan-based financial allegations too.
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