Maine results thread.

[argentarius]

I'm in DC with my phone, and the reception is terrible, so websites with images kill my battery... Can somebody post an update or a link to the googledoc?

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/lv?authkey=CKT21ZkH&hl=en_US&key=0AjQBwcCtzwG8dEdGUWZjS1FwTW8wTzVyOEJ6dmg4cHc&toomany=true#gid=1

Not much more since the start of the thread. The best thing about Maine is that Paul gets 2 weeks in which he won the last contest if he wins it.

[argentarius]

Aroostook came in on watchthevote, so now it's 48-33 Paul.

[argentarius]

Paulmentum!

IIRC the last two (and largest two) counties coming in were stronger for Romney and weaker for Paul than the rest, so this should be quite a bit closer than +15% Paul

Then again, a lot of these towns have lower turnout, and Paul is beating Romney in some towns where he was creamed last time, so we'll see.

York (and Cumberland, many voters there) were very good for Romney, neither were good at all in Washington county, which McCain won.

[argentarius]

Yeah, unfortunately an extrapolation from Aroostook and Knox looks like a 3-5 pt Romney victory statewide, so we'll have to bank on poor turnout and/or bigger Paul gains downstate.

It looks to me like a 2 point win, but as we saw in Nevada Paul did worse in many parts of Nevada but still increased his vote by 5%. Infact, extrapolating from Knox or Kennebec gives a Romney win, but I think pretty much every other one gives a Paul win.

[argentarius]

Paul winning Washington at all seemed strange let alone by that margin.

[argentarius]

Paul won the Eastbrook combined caucus as well, but no numbers are out yet.

Could the late caucus fiasco somehow give Paul a win? That would be hilarious.