Florida and Ohio

[khirkhib]

You're right and I check through 3 times.  Has anybody taken any bets on this site. Would anybody?  What bets do you think would be the most worth it (right now) to get the big pay off come November.

[Gustaf]

If Kerry wins Ohio and Florida, yes, he'd win the election almost certainly. You can't base a strategy on that though...since if Kerry focused all his efforts on those 2 states, then Bush could EASILY steal other marginal Kerry states, such as IA, MN, WI, PA, OR, etc

[Bogart]

For Bush to win MN will most likely mean something very, very bad has happend to Kerry.  Given that, Bush will not have to worry much about how MN or IA vote, he'll have probably taken other "less likely to flip" states.